Emerging Market Contagion Under Geopolitical Uncertainty

Autor: Axel Hedström, Gazi Salah Uddin, Juha-Pekka Junttila, Nathalie Zelander
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: Emerging Markets Finance and Trade. 56:1377-1401
ISSN: 1558-0938
1540-496X
DOI: 10.1080/1540496x.2018.1562895
Popis: We find that 10 emerging stock markets have high risk of contagion on the regional level but lower spillover with respect to the global markets, implying a potential for diversification benefits between emerging and global markets. Regional market integration seems to have been caused by trade integration, which has a policy implication for trade agreements’ systemic risk effects. We find that the geopolitical risk has no impact on either the return, or volatility spillovers. However, the general stock market risk (VIX) is connected to individual market volatilities, while the oil market is largely receiving the spillovers from the other markets. peerReviewed
Databáze: OpenAIRE