REMOTE SENSING AND MULTIVARIATE LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL FOR THE ESTIMATION OF URBAN EXPANSION (CASE OF DARKHAN CITY, MONGOLIA)
| Autor: | G. Dabuxile, Myagmartseren P, Myagmarjav I, D. Ganpurev, G. Byambakhuu |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
lcsh:Applied optics. Photonics
geography geography.geographical_feature_category Land use lcsh:T 0211 other engineering and technologies Urban sprawl lcsh:TA1501-1820 02 engineering and technology Land cover 010501 environmental sciences Urban area 01 natural sciences lcsh:Technology Multispectral Scanner Urban planning lcsh:TA1-2040 Impervious surface Satellite imagery lcsh:Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) Cartography 021101 geological & geomatics engineering 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
| Zdroj: | The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, Vol XLIII-B3-2020, Pp 721-726 (2020) |
| ISSN: | 2194-9034 1682-1750 |
| Popis: | Urban expansion and land use and land cover change (LUCC) studies are a key knowledge of efficient local governance and urban planning and a lot contributing to the future sustainable development of the city. The main goal of the paper is to model a future urban spatial expansion by 2029 and 2039 of Darkhan city using Landsat TM satellite imagery (land use and cover change map of 1999, 2009, and 2019) and multivariate logistic regression model. Clark Lab’s (Clark University) IDRISI & TerrSet software applied for the urban expansion prediction and the correlation between expansion and driving factors. On account of multivariate logistics regression modelling, eight physical factors influencing urban expansion identified to predict urban expansion based on USGS Landsat TM imageries (Landsat Multispectral Scanner with 60 m resolution). The regression statistic accounted for the probability of future urban expansion was positive. Overall, the LUCC has estimated the transition of natural cover to the impervious surface in Darkhan city. Our result estimates an increase in the built-up area and slum area during the period 1999–2009 and 2009–2019, represents LUCC was characterized by an external transformation from natural to urban area. According to the future urban growth prediction, the urban area would be significantly spread into the open space and natural vegetation area. The main findings stated here are that Darkhan city is expanding in an unsystematic way, even though the urban growth has not been analysed in detail and has a bad case of urban unregulated sprawl. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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