Prediction of tibial nonunion at the 6-week time point

Autor: Josef E. Jolissaint, Justin Fowler, Theodore T. Manson, Renan C. Castillo, Anthony R. Carlini, Jason W. Nascone, Marcus F. Sciadini, Keir A. Ross, Christopher T. LeBrun, Robert V O'Toole, Max Coale, Kevin O’Halloran
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
Zdroj: Injury. 49(11)
ISSN: 1879-0267
Popis: Intramedullary (IM) nail fixation is a common operative treatment, yet concerns regarding the frequency of complications, such as nonunion, remain. Treatment of tibial shaft fractures remains a challenge, and little evidence of prognostic factors that increase risk of nonunion is available. The aim of this study was to develop a predictive model of tibial shaft fracture nonunion 6 weeks after reamed intramedullary (IM) nail fixation based on commonly collected clinical variables and the radiographic union score for tibial fractures (RUST).A retrospective case-control study was conducted. All tibial shaft fractures treated at our level I trauma center from 2007 to 2014 were retrospectively reviewed. Only patients with follow-up until fracture healing or secondary operation for nonunion were included. Fracture gaps ≥3 mm were excluded. A total of 323 patients were included for study.Infection within 6 weeks of operation, standard RUST, and the Nonunion Risk Determination (NURD) score had statistically significant associations with nonunion (odds ratioor1.0; p0.01). The NURD score was increasingly predictive of nonunion with decreasing RUST. All patients in the high RUST group (RUST ≥ 10), achieved union regardless of NURD score. In the medium RUST group (RUST 6-9), 25% of patients with a NURD score ≥7 experienced nonunion. In the low RUST group (RUST6 or infection within 6 weeks), 69% of patients with a NURD score ≥7 experienced nonunion.Three variables predicted nonunion. Based on these variables, we created a clinical prediction tool of nonunion that could aid in clinical decision making and discussing prognosis with patients.
Databáze: OpenAIRE