The future tourism mobility of the world population: Emission growth versus climate policy
| Autor: | Jean-Paul Ceron, Ghislain Dubois, Paul Peeters, Stefan Gössling |
|---|---|
| Přispěvatelé: | Academy for Tourism, Centre for Sustainability, Tourism and Transport (CSTT) |
| Rok vydání: | 2011 |
| Předmět: |
Natural resource economics
business.industry scenarios Environmental resource management Climate change Transportation Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change Cultural Geography World population Management Science and Operations Research Climate policy Order (exchange) transport co2 Global mobility Business Backcasting Tourism Civil and Structural Engineering |
| Zdroj: | Transportation Research. A, Policy and practice 45 (2011) 10 Transportation Research. A, Policy and practice, 45(10), 1031-1042 Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 45(10), 1031-1042. Elsevier |
| ISSN: | 0965-8564 |
| Popis: | Much of global passenger transport is linked to tourism. The sector is therefore of interest in studying global mobility trends and transport-related emissions. In 2005, tourism was responsible for around 5% of all CO 2 emissions, of which 75% were caused by passenger transport. Given the rapid growth in tourism, with 1.6 billion international tourist arrivals predicted by 2020 (up from 903 million in 2007), it is clear that the sector will contribute to rapidly growing emission levels, and increasingly interfere with global climate policy. This is especially true under climate stabilisation and "avoiding dangerous climate change" objectives, implying global emission reductions in the order of -50% to -80% by 2050, compared to 2000. Based on three backcasting scenarios, and using techniques integrating quantitative and qualitative elements, this paper discusses the options for emission reductions in the tourism sector and the consequences of mitigation for global tourism-related mobility by 2050. It ends with a discussion of the policy implications of the results. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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