The spread of influenza-like-illness within the household in Shanghai, China
Autor: | Mei Li Li, Bao Jun Song, Hong Wang, Junling Ma |
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Rok vydání: | 2020 |
Předmět: |
China
education 02 engineering and technology Disease Disease Outbreaks household transmission Influenza Human 0502 economics and business QA1-939 0202 electrical engineering electronic engineering information engineering Humans Shanghai china Child Students Socioeconomics Family Characteristics Influenza-like illness Schools Transmission (medicine) Applied Mathematics 05 social sciences Outbreak General Medicine pairwise transmission probability Hotbed influenza-like-illness Computational Mathematics Geography markov chain Modeling and Simulation 020201 artificial intelligence & image processing High incidence General Agricultural and Biological Sciences TP248.13-248.65 Mathematics 050203 business & management Biotechnology |
Zdroj: | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, Vol 17, Iss 2, Pp 1889-1900 (2020) |
ISSN: | 1551-0018 |
Popis: | High-density urban habitats provide a hotbed for the rapid spread of infectious diseases. School children densely aggregate in classrooms. So schools are high incidence area of infectious diseases. This paper aims at investigating the transmission of influenza-like-illness within households with a school child using a survey study of fourth grade elementary school students in Shanghai, China. We found that the pairwise transmission probability within a household is only 0.172, which implies that the average number of infections caused by a single infectious individual in a household in Shanghai is only 0.304. Thus, the majority of transmission must occur outside of a household for a disease to cause an outbreak. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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