How do people learn from negative evidence? Non-monotonic generalizations and sampling assumptions in inductive reasoning

Autor: Keith Ransom, Wouter Voorspoels, Amy Perfors, Daniel J. Navarro, Gert Storms
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Linguistics and Language
Generalization
Concept Formation
Experimental and Cognitive Psychology
Monotonic function
Bayesian inference
Generalization
Psychological

Thinking
PsyArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Cognitive Psychology|Reasoning
Artificial Intelligence
Concept learning
inductive reasoning
Developmental and Educational Psychology
Humans
Learning
Mathematics
Frequentist probability
Bayes Theorem
PsyArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Cognitive Psychology|Concepts and Categories
Semantic reasoner
Inductive reasoning
bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Psychology|Cognitive Psychology
Generalization (Psychology)
PsyArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences
negative evidence
Neuropsychology and Physiological Psychology
bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences
PsyArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Cognitive Psychology
Social psychology
Cognitive psychology
DOI: 10.31234/osf.io/urgxh
Popis: A robust finding in category-based induction tasks is for positive observations to raise the willingness to generalize to other categories while negative observations lower the willingness to generalize. This pattern is referred to as monotonic generalization. Across three experiments we nd systematic non-monotonicity eects, in which negative observations raise the willingness to generalize. Experiments 1 and 2 show that this effect emerges in hierarchically structured domains when a negative observation from a different category is added to a positive observation. They also demonstrate that this is related to a specic kind of shift in the reasoner's hypothesis space. Experiment 3 shows that the effect depends on the assumptions that the reasoner makes about how inductive arguments are constructed. Non-monotonic reasoning occurs when people believe the facts were put together by a helpful communicator, but monotonicity is restored when they believe the observations were sampled randomly from the environment. Data and scripts associated with this article can be found on Open Science Framework: osf.io/wgqmr. ispartof: Cognitive Psychology vol:81 pages:1-25 ispartof: location:Netherlands status: published
Databáze: OpenAIRE