Assessing the economic costs of a foot and mouth disease outbreak on brittany : a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis

Autor: Arnaud Rault, Alexandre Gohin
Přispěvatelé: UMR 1302 Structures et Marchés Agricoles, Ressources et Territoires, Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-AGROCAMPUS OUEST, Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Structures et Marchés Agricoles, Ressources et Territoires (SMART), AGROCAMPUS OUEST, Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-AGROCAMPUS OUEST-Structures et Marchés Agricoles, Ressources et Territoires (SMART)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2013
Předmět:
Zdroj: Food Policy
Food Policy, Elsevier, 2013, 39, pp.97-107. ⟨10.1016/j.foodpol.2013.01.003⟩
ISSN: 0306-9192
Popis: Outbreaks of animal diseases such as foot and mouth disease (FMD) are of great concern for agriculture. In this paper, we quantify the potential dynamic impacts of such a disease on Brittany, a French region with an important livestock sector. In order to do this, we develop a dynamic computable general equilibrium model that allows us to measure the impacts on the livestock sectors and downstream food industries. We study the impacts of a FMD outbreak including the culling infected animals, a temporary decline in demand, and restrictions on movements of live animals and meats during the FMD outbreak period. Our results show that economic losses following this disease are spread over many periods even with a one-time shock. We also find that the impacts on the various primary sectors and downstream food sectors are quite different, depending on their initial trade position. Our general equilibrium results show the great incidence of potential constraints affecting factor markets. Capital and wage constraints severely increase the aggregate costs of such disease. These results challenge the definition of a simple efficient management policy for this disease.
Databáze: OpenAIRE