Effect of Land-Use Change on the Changes in Human Lyme Risk in the United States
| Autor: | Yuying Ma, Ge He, Ruonan Yang, Yingying X. G. Wang, Zheng Y. X. Huang, Yuting Dong |
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| Přispěvatelé: | Terrestrial Ecology (TE), Animal Ecology (AnE) |
| Rok vydání: | 2022 |
| Předmět: |
esiintyvyys
Lyme disease Borrelia burgdorferi landscape factors climatic factors risk change ympäristötekijät Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment Geography Planning and Development zoonoosit riskitekijät maankäyttö ilmastonmuutokset Management Monitoring Policy and Law PE&RC Borrelia-bakteerit borrelioosi Wildlife Ecology and Conservation Lymen borrelioosi sense organs Laboratory of Nematology skin and connective tissue diseases Laboratorium voor Nematologie |
| Zdroj: | Sustainability (Switzerland) 14 (2022) 10 Sustainability; Volume 14; Issue 10; Pages: 5802 Sustainability (Switzerland), 14(10):5802. Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI) Sustainability (Switzerland), 14(10) |
| ISSN: | 2071-1050 |
| DOI: | 10.3390/su14105802 |
| Popis: | The spatial extent and incidence of Lyme disease is increasing in the United States, particularly in the Upper Midwest and Northeast. Many previous studies have explored the drivers of its spatial pattern, however, few studies tried to explore the drivers for the changes of Lyme disease. We here compared the spatial patterns of changes of human Lyme cases and incidence in the Northeast and Upper Midwest between 2003–2005 and 2015–2017, and applied two different approaches (i.e., a statistical regularization approach and model averaging) to investigate the climatic and landscape factors affecting the risk change between the two periods. Our results suggested that changes in land-use variables generally showed different relationships with changes of human Lyme risk between the two regions. Changes of variables related to human-use areas showed opposite correlations in two regions. Besides, forest area and forest edge density generally negatively correlated with the change of human Lyme risk. In the context of ongoing habitat change, we consider this study may provide new insight into understanding the responses of human Lyme disease to these changes, and contribute to a better prediction in the future. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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