An FDA-Based Approach for Clustering Elicited Expert Knowledge

Autor: Andrew Zamecnik, Francisco Torres-Avilés, Juan Carlos Correa, Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos, Carlos Barrera-Causil
Přispěvatelé: Barrera-Causil, Carlos, Correa, Juan, Zamecnik, Andrew, Torres-Avilés, Francisco, Marmolejo-Ramos, Fernando
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Stats, Vol 4, Iss 14, Pp 184-204 (2021)
Stats
Volume 4
Issue 1
Pages 14-204
Popis: Expert knowledge elicitation (EKE) aims at obtaining individual representations of experts’ beliefs and render them in the form of probability distributions or functions. In many cases the elicited distributions differ and the challenge in Bayesian inference is then to find ways to reconcile discrepant elicited prior distributions. This paper proposes the parallel analysis of clusters of prior distributions through a hierarchical method for clustering distributions and that can be readily extended to functional data. The proposed method consists of (i) transforming the infinite-dimensional problem into a finite-dimensional one, (ii) using the Hellinger distance to compute the distances between curves and thus (iii) obtaining a hierarchical clustering structure. In a simulation study the proposed method was compared to k-means and agglomerative nesting algorithms and the results showed that the proposed method outperformed those algorithms. Finally, the proposed method is illustrated through an EKE experiment and other functional data sets Refereed/Peer-reviewed
Databáze: OpenAIRE