Geospatial Simulation Model of Sustainable Mangrove Development Scenarios for the Years 2030 and 2050 in Marismas Nacionales, Mexico
| Autor: | Wenseslao Plata-Rocha, Vicente Olimón-Andalón, Sergio Alberto Monjardin-Armenta, Edith Hilario Torres-Montoya, María Alejandra Quintero-Morales |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Geospatial analysis
Geography Planning and Development surface demand TJ807-830 Climate change Wetland Management Monitoring Policy and Law TD194-195 computer.software_genre Renewable energy sources Environmental protection Deforestation GE1-350 Sustainable development geography mangrove geography.geographical_feature_category Environmental effects of industries and plants Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment Carbon sink Environmental sciences Greenhouse gas CO2 absorption Environmental science sustainable Mangrove computer |
| Zdroj: | Sustainability Volume 13 Issue 17 Sustainability, Vol 13, Iss 9551, p 9551 (2021) |
| ISSN: | 2071-1050 |
| DOI: | 10.3390/su13179551 |
| Popis: | Anthropogenic activities influence the loss of mangroves, increase natural phenomena such as hurricanes, tropical storms, and El Niño, and consequently increase concentrations of greenhouse gases such as CO2, promoting climate change. There are strategies to reduce emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation, the Sustainable Development Goals, and the General Law on Climate Change to counteract these conditions. Therefore, this research aims to generate an integral simulation model of sustainable mangrove development scenarios for 2030 and 2050 through mitigation strategies, using geospatial techniques, multi-criteria evaluation, and generating a future surface demand model. The Marismas Nacionales study area is a mangrove ecosystem and an important carbon sink. The simulation model determined that the mangrove area in 2030 will be 77,555 hectares, with an estimated absorption of 358.95 Gg CO2 e (equivalent). By 2050 there will be 86,476 ha, absorbing 400.24 Gg CO2 e. This increase will be in disturbed mangrove areas and other wetlands. The sustainable simulation model and the surface demand model can be applied in any study area to increase, protect, and conserve mangroves to benefit the social, economic, and environmental sectors. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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