The co-evolution of technological promises, modelling, policies and climate change targets
| Autor: | Nils Markusson, Duncan McLaren |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
International relations
0303 health sciences 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences Natural resource economics business.industry Climate change Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change Environmental Science (miscellaneous) Nuclear power Climate policy 01 natural sciences 03 medical and health sciences Politics Framing (social sciences) Modelling methods Economics business Social Sciences (miscellaneous) 030304 developmental biology 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
| Zdroj: | Nature Climate Change. 10:392-397 |
| ISSN: | 1758-6798 1758-678X |
| Popis: | The nature and framing of climate targets in international politics has changed substantially since their early expressions in the 1980s. Here, we describe their evolution in five phases-from 'climate stabilization' to specific 'temperature outcomes'-co-evolving with wider climate politics and policy, modelling methods and scenarios, and technological promises (from nuclear power to carbon removal). We argue that this co-evolution has enabled policy prevarication, leaving mitigation poorly delivered, yet the technological promises often remain buried in the models used to inform policy. We conclude with a call to recognise and break this pattern to unleash more effective and just climate policy. This Perspective maps the history of climate targets and shows how the international goal of avoiding dangerous climate change has been reinterpreted in the light of new modelling methods and technological promises, ultimately enabling policy prevarication and limiting mitigation. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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