Human Vulnerability to Landslides
Autor: | Joseph Wartman, William Pollock |
---|---|
Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2020 |
Předmět: |
Risk analysis
landslide probability of death Epidemiology risk analysis Health Toxicology and Mutagenesis lcsh:Environmental protection Vulnerability Poison control Volcanology Management Monitoring Policy and Law Debris Flow and Landslides Odds Volcanic Hazards and Risks Regional Planning Natural hazard Injury prevention Hydrological Human Impacts lcsh:TD169-171.8 Disaster Risk Analysis and Assessment Waste Management and Disposal Research Articles Water Science and Technology Global and Planetary Change business.industry Environmental resource management Public Health Environmental and Occupational Health Human factors and ergonomics Landslide Policy Sciences Pollution Benefit‐cost Analysis mortality Geography Human Impact disaster Preparedness and Planning Hydrology business Natural Hazards Research Article |
Zdroj: | GeoHealth GeoHealth, Vol 4, Iss 10, Pp n/a-n/a (2020) |
ISSN: | 2471-1403 |
Popis: | Landslides pose a devastating threat to human health, killing thousands of people annually. Human vulnerability is a crucial element of landslide risk reduction, yet up until now, all methods for estimating the human consequences of landslides rely on subjective, expert judgment. Furthermore, these methods do not explore the underlying causes of mortality or inform strategies to reduce landslide risk. In light of these issues, we develop a data‐driven tool to estimate an individual's probability of death based on landslide intensity, which can be used directly in landslide risk assessment. We find that between inundation depths of approximately 1–6 m, human behavior is the primary driver of mortality. Landslide vulnerability is strongly correlated with the economic development of a region, but landslide losses are not stratified by gender and age to the degree of other natural hazards. We observe that relatively simple actions, such as moving to an upper floor or a prepared refuge space, increase the odds of survival by up to a factor of 12. Additionally, community‐scale hazard awareness programs and training for citizen first responders offer a potent means to maximize survival rates in landslides. Key Points Many modern estimates of human vulnerability to landslides rely on subjective judgment and ignore the role of human behaviorWe present a human vulnerability curve that links an individual's probability of death to landslide inundation depthWe find that human behavior drives vulnerability at inundation depths of 0.9–5.9 m and suggest practical actions to reduce personal risk |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
Externí odkaz: |