Accounting for the competing risk of death to predict kidney failure in adults with stage 4 chronic kidney disease

Autor: Ngan N. Lam, Huda Al-Wahsh, Marta Fiocco, Rob R. Quinn, Thomas Ferguson Ms, Marcello Tonelli, Navdeep Tangri, Pietro Ravani, Ping Liu
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Jama Network Open, 4(5). AMER MEDICAL ASSOC
JAMA Network Open
Popis: This population-based validation study compares the prediction of kidney failure from models that do and do not account for the competing risk of death in adults with severe chronic kidney disease.
Key Points Question Does accounting for the competing risk of death make a difference when predicting kidney failure in adults with stage 4 chronic kidney disease? Findings In this external prognostic study with 14 619 people in the development cohort and 2295 in the validation cohort, models that did and did not account for the competing risk of death provided comparable 2-year predictions of kidney failure. Differences in model predictions emerged after 2 years and increased with longer prediction times, especially among participants aged 65 years or older and those with more comorbidity. Meaning These findings suggest that accounting for the competing risk of death when making predictions about kidney failure becomes increasingly important with longer follow-up time, older age, and the presence of more comorbidities.
Importance Kidney failure risk prediction has implications for disease management, including advance care planning in adults with severe (ie, estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] category 4, [G4]) chronic kidney disease (G4-CKD). Existing prediction tools do not account for the competing risk of death. Objective To compare predictions of kidney failure (defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR]
Databáze: OpenAIRE