Developing a Preliminary Causal Loop Diagram for Understanding the Wicked Complexity of the COVID-19 Pandemic
| Autor: | Cara Beal, Stefen MacAskill, Oz Sahin, Simone Heilgeist, Rodney Anthony Stewart, Emiliya Suprun, Russell Richards, Shannon Rutherford, Hengky K. Salim |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
050101 languages & linguistics
Information Systems and Management Computer Networks and Communications Causal loop diagram Psychological intervention lcsh:TA168 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Leverage (negotiation) Order (exchange) systems approach Pandemic lcsh:Technology (General) 0501 psychology and cognitive sciences 030212 general & internal medicine Wicked problem Unintended consequences pandemic 05 social sciences COVID-19 Risk analysis (engineering) Control and Systems Engineering lcsh:Systems engineering Modeling and Simulation Key (cryptography) wicked problem leverage points lcsh:T1-995 Software |
| Zdroj: | Systems, Vol 8, Iss 20, p 20 (2020) |
| ISSN: | 2079-8954 |
| Popis: | COVID-19 is a wicked problem for policy makers internationally as the complexity of the pandemic transcends health, environment, social and economic boundaries. Many countries are focusing on two key responses, namely virus containment and financial measures, but fail to recognise other aspects. The systems approach, however, enables policy makers to design the most effective strategies and reduce the unintended consequences. To achieve fundamental change, it is imperative to firstly identify the “right” interventions (leverage points) and implement additional measures to reduce negative consequences. To do so, a preliminary causal loop diagram of the COVID-19 pandemic was designed to explore its influence on socio-economic systems. In order to transcend the “wait and see” approach, and create an adaptive and resilient system, governments need to consider “deep” leverage points that can be realistically maintained over the long-term and cause a fundamental change, rather than focusing on “shallow” leverage points that are relatively easy to implement but do not result in significant systemic change. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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