Grains Production Prospects and Long Run Food Security in Egypt
| Autor: | Dawn Thilmany, Hamdy Sayed Abdou Abdelaal |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2019 |
| Předmět: |
Natural resource economics
media_common.quotation_subject 0208 environmental biotechnology Geography Planning and Development Population TJ807-830 02 engineering and technology 010501 environmental sciences Management Monitoring Policy and Law TD194-195 01 natural sciences Renewable energy sources Scarcity food security in Egypt Population growth Production (economics) GE1-350 Agricultural productivity education grains production Productivity 0105 earth and related environmental sciences media_common education.field_of_study Food security Environmental effects of industries and plants Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment water scarcity and shortages 020801 environmental engineering Summer season Environmental sciences Business |
| Zdroj: | Sustainability, Vol 11, Iss 16, p 4457 (2019) Sustainability Volume 11 Issue 16 |
| ISSN: | 2071-1050 |
| Popis: | Egypt&rsquo s population growth, scarce resources, and a struggling economy threaten its capacity to achieve food security. Water is of particular interest at this juncture given impending development projects under increasingly uncertain climate conditions. The main objective of this research is to forecast grains production in Egypt under different productivity scenarios, based on annual data from 1980 to 2017, to estimate and forecast cultivated area. Findings suggest that the potential reduction in the Nile flows into Egypt will adversely impact agricultural production, especially during the summer season, reducing cultivated areas and decreasing crop yields. These findings suggest that Egypt&rsquo s reliance on imports will continue and grain imports will increase as the population grows and opportunities to reclaim lands remain limited. If food security and concerns about reliance on food imports persist among leaders, future policy options should focus on increasing water-use efficiency and raising productivity of both land and water. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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