Climate change and its relationship with non-melanoma skin cancers

Autor: Lara Sofia Della Ceca, Rubén D. Piacentini, Adriana Ipiña
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
Física Atómica
Molecular y Química
Skin Neoplasms
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Ultraviolet Rays
Climate Change
Ciencias Físicas
Otras Ciencias de la Tierra y relacionadas con el Medio Ambiente
Climate change
01 natural sciences
Ciencias de la Tierra y relacionadas con el Medio Ambiente
purl.org/becyt/ford/1 [https]
purl.org/becyt/ford/1.5 [https]
Humans
Physical and Theoretical Chemistry
0505 law
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
050502 law
Incidence
Incidence (epidemiology)
05 social sciences
Global warming
temperature
purl.org/becyt/ford/1.3 [https]
Models
Theoretical
radiation
climate change
Geography
Carcinoma
Basal Cell
squamous and basal cell carcinoma
Greenhouse gas
Carcinoma
Squamous Cell
Life expectancy
CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS
Atmospheric emissions
Non melanoma
Demography
Zdroj: CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
instacron:CONICET
ISSN: 1474-9092
1474-905X
DOI: 10.1039/c7pp00405b
Popis: Climate change is affecting both the environment and human behaviour. One significant impact is related to health, as detailed in the IPCC 2014 report. In the present work, and as a contribution to this commemorative special issue to Prof. Dr Jan van der Leun, we present the results of the squamous (SCC) and basal-cell carcinoma (BCC) incidence change in relation to the ambient temperature increase. This increase is produced by global warming, mainly induced by anthropogenic atmospheric emissions of greenhouse gases. We have broadened a previous study conducted by van der Leun et al. (Photochem. Photobiol. Sci., 2008, 7, 730-733), by analysing the effective carcinogenicity of UV dose, for the period 2000-2200 and four climate change scenarios (called RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5). The corresponding percentage increases of the incidence of SCC for 2100 are 5.8, 10.4, 13.8 and 21.4%, and for 2200 they are 4.3, 12.1, 19.0 and 40.5%. In a similar way, the percentage increases of the incidence of BCC for 2100 are 2.8, 4.9, 6.5 and 9.9% and for 2200 they are 2.0, 5.8, 8.9 and 18.2%. We report the SCC and BCC percentage effective incidence results as a function of time, for the whole 21st century and we extended the analysis to the 22nd century, since people possibly affected (like the Z and T generations, born at the beginning of this century) will have a life expectancy extending up to the final decades of the present century and even to the first ones of the next century. Fil: Piacentini, Rubén D.. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Rosario. Instituto de Física de Rosario. Universidad Nacional de Rosario. Instituto de Física de Rosario; Argentina Fil: Della Ceca, Lara Sofia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Rosario. Instituto de Física de Rosario. Universidad Nacional de Rosario. Instituto de Física de Rosario; Argentina Fil: Ipiña, Adriana. No especifica; Argentina
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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