Sovereign Debt Crises in Latin America

Autor: Tjeerd M. Boonman, Gerard H. Kuper, Jan Jacobs
Přispěvatelé: Research programme EEF
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2015
Předmět:
Zdroj: Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 51(supplement 6), S80-S93
ISSN: 1540-496X
DOI: 10.1080/1540496x.2015.1080558
Popis: We construct a continuous sovereign debt crisis index for four large Latin American countries for the period 1870-2012. To obtain the optimal set of indicators and the optimal value of the threshold for dating crises we apply the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Our sovereign debt crisis index is a weighted average of three indicators: the debt-to-GDP ratio, the external interest rate spread, and the exports-to-imports ratio. The continuous index allows a more advanced analysis of sovereign debt crises as illustrated with an investigation of the relationship between sovereign debt crises and business cycles in Latin America.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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