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Roberto Bernabeu-Mora,1â 3 Elisa Valera-Novella,3,4 MarÃa Piedad Sánchez-MartÃnez,3,4 Francesc Medina-Mirapeix3,4 1Department of Pneumology, Hospital General Universitario Morales Meseguer, Murcia, Spain; 2Department of Internal Medicine, University of Murcia, Murcia, Spain; 3Research Group Fisioterapia y Discapacidad, Instituto Murciano de Investigación Biosanitaria-Virgen de La Arrixaca (IMIB), Murcia, Spain; 4Department of Physical Therapy, University of Murcia, Murcia, SpainCorrespondence: Roberto Bernabeu-Mora, Department of Pneumology, Hospital General Universitario Morales Meseguer, Avda Marqués de los Vélez s/n, Murcia, 30008, Spain, Tel +34 968 360 900, Fax +34 968 360 994, Email rbernabeumora@hotmail.comPurpose: The BODS index has been confirmed to have predictive properties similar to the original BODE index for mortality in COPD. We evaluated the agreement between the BODS index and the BODE and explored with an updated BODS how this agreement could be improved and its ability to correctly discriminate individual participantsâ mortality in a prospective cohort study.Patients and Methods: We included prospectively a consecutive sample of 137 patients with COPD, between 40 and 80 years, during 2014 and followed for 5 years (2014â 2019) in the Pneumology section of a public university hospital in Spain. They participated in the baseline data collection, which included BODE- and BODS-related measurements and prognostic factors, and were followed up for 5-year mortality. We used BlandâAltman plots and the kappa coefficient to analyze the agreement between both the original and updated BODS and the BODE index, and we used the areas under ROC curves (AUC) to compare their discriminative abilities for 5-year all-cause mortality.Results: The original BODS index scores and quartiles had weak agreement with the BODE index, and our updated BODS strengthened these agreements (a small, statistically nonsignificant mean bias [< 0.03] with LoAs< 2 points, and a substantial Kappa coefficient [k =0.63; IC 95%: 0.53â 0.73]). In addition, the updated BODS index scores had better summarized ability than the BODS index in discriminating participantsâ mortality during the following 5 years (AUC: 0.768 versus 0.736; p=0.04).Conclusion: The updated BODS index scores and quartiles may provide prognostic information similar to that provided by the BODE index in COPD. Future research should focus on index improvement through external validation, as well as the assessment of safety and effectiveness in clinical practice by means of impact studies.Keywords: COPD, mortality, BODE, BODS, 5-STS, exercise capacity |