The Great Recession and the inflation puzzle

Autor: Emil Stavrev, Troy Matheson
Rok vydání: 2013
Předmět:
Zdroj: Economics Letters. 120:468-472
ISSN: 0165-1765
DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.06.001
Popis: Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s. Using a non-linear Kalman filter that allows for time-varying parameters, we find that three factors have contributed to the observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the Phillips curve has flattened; and the importance of import-price inflation has increased.
Databáze: OpenAIRE