Future access to essential services in a growing smart city: The case of Surrey, British Columbia
Autor: | Rohan Nuttall, Rafael Henrique Moraes Pereira, Martino Tran, Jerome R. Mayaud |
---|---|
Rok vydání: | 2018 |
Předmět: |
Economic growth
Multimodal transport Investment strategy Geography Planning and Development Population bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Urban Studies and Planning 0211 other engineering and technologies Geographic Information Sciences 02 engineering and technology SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography Social and Behavioral Sciences Human Geography Urban Studies and Planning SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography|Spatial Science Urban planning Smart city bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Social Statistics Population growth education SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography|Human Geography 021101 geological & geomatics engineering General Environmental Science SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Urban Studies and Planning FOS: Social and economic geography education.field_of_study Equity (economics) Social Statistics Geography business.industry Ecological Modeling 021107 urban & regional planning bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography|Spatial Science bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography Spatial Science bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography|Human Geography SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Social Statistics Urban Studies Public transport bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography|Geographic Information Sciences business bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Geography|Geographic Information Sciences |
DOI: | 10.31235/osf.io/pej8u |
Popis: | The concept of accessibility – the ease with which people can reach places or opportunities –lies at the heart of what makes cities livable, workable and sustainable. As urban populations shift over time, predicting the changes to accessibility demand for certain services becomes crucial for responsible and ‘smart’ urban planning and infrastructure investment. In this study, we investigate how projected population change could affect accessibility to essential services in the City of Surrey, one of the fastest growing cities in Canada. Our objectives are two-fold: first, to quantify the additional pressure that Surrey’s growing population will have on existing facilities; second, to investigate how changes in the spatial distribution of different age and income groups will impact accessibility equity across the city. We evaluated accessibility levels to healthcare facilities and schools across Surrey’s multimodal transport network using origin-destination matrices, and combined this information with high-resolution longitudinal census data. Paying close attention to two vulnerable population groups – children and youth (0–19 years of age) and seniors (65+ years of age) – we analyzed shifts in accessibility demand from 2016 to 2022. The results show that population growth both within and outside the catchments of existing facilities will have varying implications for future accessibility demand in different areas of the city. By 2022, the city’s hospitals and walk-in clinics will be accessible to ~9,000 and ~124,000 more people (respectively) within a predefined threshold of 30 minutes by public transport. Schools will also face increased demand, as ~8,000 additional children/youth in 2022 will move to areas with access to at least half of the city’s schools. Conversely, over 27,000 more people – almost half of them seniors – will not be able to access a hospital in under 30 minutes by 2022. Since low-income and senior residents moving into poorly connected areas tend to be more reliant on public transport, accessibility equity may decline in some rural communities. Our study highlights how open-source data and code can be leveraged to conduct in-depth analysis of accessibility demand across a city, which is key for ensuring inclusive and ‘smart’ urban investment strategies. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
Externí odkaz: |