Which Is More Useful in Predicting Hospital Mortality -Dichotomised Blood Test Results or Actual Test Values? A Retrospective Study in Two Hospitals

Autor: David Prytherch, Mohammed A Mohammed, Gavin Rudge, Vishal Nangalia, Roger Holder, Jim Briggs, Gordon Wood, Gary B. Smith
Rok vydání: 2012
Předmět:
Male
Pediatrics
Critical Care and Emergency Medicine
Non-Clinical Medicine
lcsh:Medicine
Biochemistry
chemistry.chemical_compound
Hospital Mortality
lcsh:Science
Aged
80 and over

Hematologic Tests
Multidisciplinary
medicine.diagnostic_test
Mortality rate
Statistics
Hematology
Middle Aged
Clinical Laboratory Sciences
Test (assessment)
medicine.anatomical_structure
Medicine
Female
Risk assessment
Research Article
Test Evaluation
Adult
medicine.medical_specialty
Clinical Research Design
Biostatistics
Risk Assessment
Diagnostic Medicine
White blood cell
Health Sciences
medicine
Humans
Blood test
Biology
Retrospective Studies
Aged
Creatinine
Health Care Policy
Models
Statistical

Receiver operating characteristic
business.industry
lcsh:R
Computing
Health Risk Analysis
Retrospective cohort study
ROC Curve
chemistry
Emergency medicine
lcsh:Q
business
Mathematics
Zdroj: PLoS ONE
Mohammed, M, Rudge, G, Wood, G, Smith, G, Nangalia, V, Prytherch, D, Holder, R & Briggs, J 2012, ' Which is more useful in predicting hospital mortality-dichotomised blood test results or actual test values? a retrospective study in two hospitals ', PLoS One, vol. 7, no. 10, pp. e46860 . https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0046860
PLoS ONE, Vol 7, Iss 10, p e46860 (2012)
ISSN: 1932-6203
Popis: BACKGROUND: Routine blood tests are an integral part of clinical medicine and in interpreting blood test results clinicians have two broad options. (1) Dichotomise the blood tests into normal/abnormal or (2) use the actual values and overlook the reference values. We refer to these as the "binary" and the "non-binary" strategy respectively. We investigate which strategy is better at predicting the risk of death in hospital based on seven routinely undertaken blood tests (albumin, creatinine, haemoglobin, potassium, sodium, urea, and white blood cell count) using tree models to implement the two strategies. METHODOLOGY: A retrospective database study of emergency admissions to an acute hospital during April 2009 to March 2010, involving 10,050 emergency admissions with routine blood tests undertaken within 24 hours of admission. We compared the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve for predicting in-hospital mortality using the binary and non-binary strategy. RESULTS: The mortality rate was 6.98% (701/10050). The mean predicted risk of death in those who died was significantly (p-value
Databáze: OpenAIRE