Sunspot-driven fat tails: A note

Autor: Chetan Dave, Marco M. Sorge
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Popis: Empirical growth-rate distributions of major macroeconomic aggregates are typically non-Normal and exhibit fat tails. We advance the idea that indeterminacies in standard rational expectations models can qualify as a source of high-frequency extreme macroeconomic outcomes. In a univariate setup, we demonstrate the emergence of fat-tailed behavior for an endogenous variable even though structural and sunspot shocks both follow Normal distributions.
Databáze: OpenAIRE