Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model
| Autor: | Mohamed El Ghozlani, Abdelaziz Moutcine, Zeroual Abdellah, Ousama Ifguis, Fouzia Ammou |
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| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
2019-20 coronavirus outbreak
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Article Subject Health Toxicology and Mutagenesis Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Pneumonia Viral 010501 environmental sciences medicine.disease_cause 01 natural sciences 03 medical and health sciences Betacoronavirus 0302 clinical medicine Pandemic Statistics medicine Humans Computer Simulation 030212 general & internal medicine Pandemics 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Coronavirus biology SARS-CoV-2 Public Health Environmental and Occupational Health COVID-19 Models Theoretical biology.organism_classification Morocco Geography Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270 Epidemic model Coronavirus Infections Research Article |
| Zdroj: | Journal of Environmental and Public Health, Vol 2020 (2020) Journal of Environmental and Public Health |
| ISSN: | 1687-9813 1687-9805 |
| Popis: | Since the epidemic of COVID-19 was declared in Wuhan, Hubei Province of China, and other parts of the world, several studies have been carried out over several regions to observe the development of the epidemic, to predict its duration, and to estimate its final size, using complex models such as the SEIR model or the simpler ones such as the SIR model. These studies showed that the SIR model is much more efficient than the SEIR model; therefore, we are applying this model in the Kingdom of Morocco since the appearance of the first case on 2 March 2020, with the objective of predicting the final size of the epidemic. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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