Fossil Energy in the Framework of Sustainable Development: Analysis of Prospects and Development of Forecast Scenarios

Autor: Alexandra Dmitrievna Buldysko, Valeriia Vladimirovna Starshaia, Daria Evgenievna Batueva, Yuriy Leonidovich Zhukovskiy, Bernard Gil
Přispěvatelé: Saint Petersburg Mining University, Laboratoire Charles Coulomb (L2C), Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), SSQT, Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Technology
Control and Optimization
020209 energy
Energy (esotericism)
Energy Engineering and Power Technology
factor analysis
02 engineering and technology
010501 environmental sciences
Energy transition
01 natural sciences
7. Clean energy
12. Responsible consumption
fossil energy
sustainable energy development
renewable energy sources
digital technologies
energy transition
analysis of the scenario
11. Sustainability
0202 electrical engineering
electronic engineering
information engineering
Production (economics)
Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Engineering (miscellaneous)
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
Consumption (economics)
Sustainable development
Renewable Energy
Sustainability and the Environment
business.industry
Fossil fuel
Environmental economics
Renewable energy
Sustainable energy
13. Climate action
[PHYS.COND.CM-GEN]Physics [physics]/Condensed Matter [cond-mat]/Other [cond-mat.other]
Business
Energy (miscellaneous)
Zdroj: Energies; Volume 14; Issue 17; Pages: 5268
Energies, Vol 14, Iss 5268, p 5268 (2021)
Energies
Energies, MDPI, 2021, 14, pp.5268. ⟨10.3390/en14175268⟩
ISSN: 1996-1073
DOI: 10.3390/en14175268
Popis: International audience; In the next 20 years, the fossil energy must become a guarantor of the sustainable de- velopment of the energy sector for future generations. Significant threats represent hurdles in this transition. This study identified current global trends in the energy sector and the prospects for the development of energy until 2035. The importance of risk assessment in scenario forecasting based on expert judgments was proven. Three contrasting scenarios, #StayHome, #StayAlone, and #StayEffective, for the development of fossil energy, all based on comprehensive analysis of global risks by expert survey and factor analysis, were developed. It was concluded that fossil energy is mandatory with integration of advanced technologies at every stage of the production of traditional energy and of renewable energy as an integral part of the modern energy sector. Based on the results of the study, nine ambitious programs for the development of sustainable energy are presented. They require the creation and the utilization of a single interactive digital platform adapted to this purpose. It is a passport mandatory for the flexible interaction of energy production, its transmission, and its consumption in the perspective of having a future sustainable, reliable, and secured energy sector.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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