Machine Learning Algorithms for the Prediction of Central Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients With Papillary Thyroid Cancer

Autor: Yijun Wu, Ke Rao, Jianghao Liu, Chang Han, Liang Gong, Yuming Chong, Ziwen Liu, Xiequn Xu
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Adult
Male
0301 basic medicine
Multivariate analysis
Endocrinology
Diabetes and Metabolism

030209 endocrinology & metabolism
Machine learning
computer.software_genre
cross-validation
lcsh:Diseases of the endocrine glands. Clinical endocrinology
Papillary thyroid cancer
03 medical and health sciences
Endocrinology
0302 clinical medicine
feature selection
Risk Factors
medicine
Humans
papillary thyroid cancer
Thyroid Neoplasms
Thyroid cancer
Original Research
Retrospective Studies
lcsh:RC648-665
Receiver operating characteristic
business.industry
Thyroid
Univariate
Middle Aged
Prognosis
medicine.disease
Central lymph
central lymph node metastasis
030104 developmental biology
medicine.anatomical_structure
machine learning
ROC Curve
Central Lymph Node Dissection
Thyroid Cancer
Papillary

Lymphatic Metastasis
Female
Artificial intelligence
business
computer
Algorithm
Algorithms
Follow-Up Studies
Zdroj: Frontiers in Endocrinology, Vol 11 (2020)
Frontiers in Endocrinology
ISSN: 1664-2392
Popis: Background Central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) occurs frequently in patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), but performing prophylactic central lymph node dissection is still controversial. There are no reliable models for predicting CLNM. This study aimed to develop predictive models for CLNM by machine learning (ML) algorithms. Methods Patients with PTC who underwent initial thyroid resection at our hospital between January 2018 and December 2019 were enrolled. A total of 22 variables, including clinical characteristics and ultrasonography (US) features, were used for conventional univariate and multivariate analysis and to construct ML-based models. A 5-fold cross validation strategy was used for validation and a feature selection approach was applied to identify risk factors. Results The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 7 models ranged from 0.680 to 0.731. All models performed significantly better than US (AUC=0.623) in predicting CLNM (P 1.1 cm were the most contributing predictors for CLNM. Conclusions It is feasible to develop predictive models of CLNM in PTC patients by incorporating clinical characteristics and US features. The ML algorithm may be a useful tool for the prediction of lymph node metastasis in thyroid cancer.
Databáze: OpenAIRE