Estimating long-term overall survival with olaparib as maintenance therapy in patients with newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer with BRCA mutations

Autor: N. A. Avxentyev, S. V. Khokhlova, M. Yu. Frolov, A. S. Makarov
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Opuholi Ženskoj Reproduktivnoj Sistemy, Vol 17, Iss 3, Pp 97-105 (2021)
ISSN: 1999-8627
1994-4098
Popis: Background. According to randomized clinical trial SOLO1 olaparib statistically significantly improves progression-free survival versus placebo as a maintenance monotherapy in patients aged 18 and over with newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer with BRCA mutations, who had response to first-line chemotherapy. As the data on overall survival (OS) in this trial remains interim it is still uncertain whether treatment with olaparib can provide any benefits in terms of OS.Objective: to evaluate a long-term OS for olaparib versus placebo as a maintenance monotherapy in patients with newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer with BRCA mutations, who had response to first-line chemotherapy.Materials and methods. A 10-year mathematic model of disease progression and survival on olaparib versus placebo was developed. Modelling was based on data on progression-free survival from SOLO1 trial and data on OS after platinum-sensitive and platinum-resistant relapses from OCEANS and AURELIA trials. Additionally, patients who haven’t been treated with olaparib after first-line therapy in base-case scenario were assumed to get olaparib as a second-line treatment after platinum-sensitive relapse; mortality modelling for these patients was based on data from SOLO2 trial.Results. Median OS for olaparib was 107 months versus 66 months for placebo. 46 % of patients treated with olaparib were alive by the end of 10-year modelling period, but only 28 % patients from the placebo group. Hazard ratio of death for olaparib versus placebo was 0.64 (95 % confidence interval 0.49–0.84). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed robustness of these results.Conclusion. Using olaparib as a maintenance therapy in patients with newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer with BRCA mutations, who had response on first line chemotherapy, statistically significantly reduces risk of death by 36 %, compared to placebo.
Databáze: OpenAIRE