A comparison of APACHE II, BISAP, Ranson's score and modified CTSI in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis based on the 2012 revised Atlanta Classification
| Autor: | Mahavir S Griwan, Anubhav Harshit Kumar |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2017 |
| Předmět: |
Resuscitation
medicine.medical_specialty Scoring system Computed tomography law.invention 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine law Internal medicine medicine Intensive care medicine Ranson’s score Receiver operating characteristic medicine.diagnostic_test APACHE II Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) modified Computed Tomography Severity Index (modified CTSI) business.industry Gastroenterology Area under the curve Original Articles Accuracy of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) medicine.disease Intensive care unit Acute pancreatitis 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis 030211 gastroenterology & hepatology business |
| Zdroj: | Gastroenterology Report |
| ISSN: | 2052-0034 |
| Popis: | Objective Our aim was to prospectively compare the Accuracy of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP), Ranson’s score and modified Computed Tomography Severity Index (CTSI) in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis based on Atlanta 2012 definitions in a tertiary care hospital in northern India. Methods Fifty patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to our hospital during the period of March 2015 to September 2016 were included in the study. APACHE II, BISAP and Ranson’s score were calculated for all the cases. Modified CTSI was also determined based on a pancreatic protocol contrast enhanced computerized tomography (CT). Optimal cut-offs for these scoring systems and the area under the curve (AUC) were evaluated based on the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve and these scoring systems were compared prospectively. Results Of the 50 cases, 14 were graded as severe acute pancreatitis. Pancreatic necrosis was present in 15 patients, while 14 developed persistent organ failure and 14 needed intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The AUC for modified CTSI was consistently the highest for predicting severe acute pancreatitis (0.919), pancreatic necrosis (0.993), organ failure (0.893) and ICU admission (0.993). APACHE II was the second most accurate in predicting severe acute pancreatitis (AUC 0.834) and organ failure (0.831). APACHE II had a high sensitivity for predicting pancreatic necrosis (93.33%), organ failure (92.86%) and ICU admission (92.31%), and also had a high negative predictive value for predicting pancreatic necrosis (96.15%), organ failure (96.15%) and ICU admission (95.83%). Conclusion APACHE II is a useful prognostic scoring system for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis and can be a crucial aid in determining the group of patients that have a high chance of need for tertiary care during the course of their illness and therefore need early resuscitation and prompt referral, especially in resource-limited developing countries. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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