An Expert Elicitation of the Effects of Low Salinity Water Exposure on Bottlenose Dolphins
| Autor: | Leonard Joseph Thomas, Cormac G. Booth |
|---|---|
| Přispěvatelé: | University of St Andrews. Scottish Oceans Institute, University of St Andrews. Arctic Research Centre, University of St Andrews. Statistics, University of St Andrews. Centre for Research into Ecological & Environmental Modelling, University of St Andrews. Marine Alliance for Science & Technology Scotland |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Salinity
Low salinity marine biology salinity human disturbance lcsh:Oceanography Coastal development Freshwater dose response Dose response Qualitative knowledge wildlife management Wildlife management lcsh:GC1-1581 SDG 14 - Life Below Water freshwater Marine biology GC QL Tursiops sp business.industry fungi Stressor Environmental resource management DAS Expert elicitation Cetacean QL Zoology Increased risk Human disturbance cetacean Environmental science GC Oceanography business Coastal management |
| Zdroj: | Oceans Volume 2 Issue 1 Pages 11-192 Oceans, Vol 2, Iss 11, Pp 179-192 (2021) |
| ISSN: | 2673-1924 |
| DOI: | 10.3390/oceans2010011 |
| Popis: | There is increasing concern over anthropogenically driven changes in our oceans and seas, from a variety of stressors. Such stressors include the increased risk of storms and precipitation, offshore industries and increased coastal development which can affect the marine environment. For some coastal cetacean species, there is an increased exposure to low salinity waters which have been linked with a range of adverse health effects in bottlenose dolphins. Knowledge gaps persist regarding how different time–salinity exposures affect the health and survival of animals. In such data-poor instances, expert elicitation can be used to convert an expert’s qualitative knowledge into subjective probability distributions. The management implications of this stressor and the subjective nature of expert elicitation requires transparency we have addressed this here, utilizing the Sheffield Elicitation Framework. The results are a series of time response scenarios to estimate time to death in bottlenose dolphins, for use when data are insufficient to estimate probabilistic summaries. This study improves our understanding of how low salinity exposure effects dolphins, guiding priorities for future research, while its outputs can be used to support coastal management on a global scale. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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