Urgently Needed for Policy Guidance: An Operational Tool for Monitoring the COVID-19 Pandemic
| Autor: | Christelle Baunez, Jean-Paul Moatti, Stéphane Luchini, Patrick A. Pintus, Mickael Degoulet, Miriam Teschl |
|---|---|
| Přispěvatelé: | Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques (AMSE), École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-École Centrale de Marseille (ECM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Institut de Neurosciences de la Timone (INT), Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Institute for Advanced Studies - Aix-Marseille University (IMéRA), Lhuillier, Elisabeth |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
Detection of Infectious Diseases media_common.quotation_subject Acceleration Public Health Policy JEL: I - Health Education and Welfare/I.I1 - Health/I.I1.I18 - Government Policy • Regulation • Public Health 03 medical and health sciences Convexity 0302 clinical medicine Sensitivity Policy decision [SDV.MHEP.MI]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Infectious diseases Data Dashboard Pandemic Asian country Quality (business) 030212 general & internal medicine [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance Health policy media_common 030505 public health Public economics COVID-19 [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance 3. Good health JEL: H - Public Economics/H.H1 - Structure and Scope of Government/H.H1.H12 - Crisis Management [SDV.SPEE] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie South american [SDV.MHEP.MI] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Infectious diseases [SDV.SPEE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie Business 0305 other medical science Healthcare system |
| Zdroj: | HAL |
| Popis: | The radical uncertainty around the current COVID19 pandemics requires that governments around the world should be able to track in real time not only how the virus spreads but, most importantly, what policies are effective in keeping the spread of the disease under check. To improve the quality of health decision-making, we argue that it is necessary to monitor and compare acceleration/deceleration of confirmed cases over health policy responses, across countries. To do so, we provide a simple mathematical tool to estimate the convexity/concavity of trends in epidemiological surveillance data. Had it been applied at the onset of the crisis, it would have offered more opportunities to measure the impact of the policies undertaken in different Asian countries, and to allow European and North-American governments to draw quicker lessons from these Asian experiences when making policy decisions. Our tool can be especially useful as the epidemic is currently extending to lower-income African and South American countries, some of which have weaker health systems. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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