Cumulative Prognostic Score Predicting Mortality in Patients Older Than 80 Years Admitted to the ICU
Autor: | de Lange D. W., Brinkman S., Flaatten H., Boumendil A., Morandi A., Andersen F. H., Artigas A., Bertolini G., Cecconi M., Christensen S., Faraldi L., Fjolner J., Jung C., Marsh B., Moreno R., Oeyen S., Ohman C. A., Bollen Pinto B., de Smet A. M. G. A., Soliman I. W., Szczeklik W., Valentin A., Watson X., Zafeiridis T., Guidet B., Schmutz R., Wimmer F., Eller P., Joannidis M., De Buysscher P., De Neve N., Swinnen W., Abraham P., Hergafi L., Schefold Joerg. C., Biskup E., Piza P., Taliadoros I., Dey N., Solling C., Rasmussen B. S., Forceville X., Besch G., Mentec H., Michel P., Mateu P., Vettoretti L., Bourenne J., Marin N., Guillot M., Aissaoui N., Goulenok C., Thieulot-Rolin N., Messika J., Lamhaut L., Charron C., Lauten A., Sacher A. L., Brenner T., Franz M., Bloos F., Ebelt H., Schaller S. J., Fuest Kristina., Rabe C., Dieck T., Steiner S., Graf T., Nia A. M., Janosi R. A., Meybohm P., Simon P., Utzolino S., Rahmel T., Barth E., Schuster M., Aidoni Z., Aloizos S., Tasioudis P., Lampiri K., Zisopoulou V., Ravani I., Pagaki E., Antoniou A., Katsoulas T. A., Kounougeri A., Marinakis G., Tsimpoukas F., Spyropoulou A., Zygoulis P., Kyparissi A., Gupta M., Gurjar M., Maji I. M., Hayes I., Kelly Y., Westbrook A., Fitzpatrick G., Maheshwari D., Motherway C., Negri G., Spadaro S., Nattino G., Pedeferri M., Boscolo A., Rossi S., Calicchio G., Cubattoli L., Di Lascio G., Barbagallo M., Berruto F., Codazzi D., Bottazzi A., Fumagalli P., Negro G., Lupi G., Savelli F., Vulcano Giuseppe. A., Fumagalli R., Marudi A., Lefons U., Lembo R., Babini M., Paggioro A., Parrini V., Zaccaria M., Clementi S., Gigliuto C., Facondini F., Pastorini S., Munaron S., Calamai I., Bocchi A., Adorni A., Bocci M. G., Cortegiani A., Casalicchio T., Mellea S., Graziani E., Barattini M., Brizio E., Rossi M., Hahn M., Kemmerer N., Strietzel H. F., Dybwik K., Legernaes T., Klepstad P., Olaussen E. B., Olsen K. I., Brresen O. M., Bjorsvik G., Maini S., Fehrle L., Czuczwar M., Krawczyk P., Zietkiewicz M., Nowak L. R., Kotfis K., Cwyl K., Gajdosz R., Biernawska J., Bohatyrewicz Romuald., Gawda R., Grudzien P., Nasilowski P., Popek N., Cyrankiewicz W., Wawrzyniak K., Wnuk M., Maciejewski D., Studzinska D., Zukowski M., Bernas S., Piechota M., Nowak I., Fronczek J., Serwa M., Machala W., Stefaniak J., Wujtewicz M., Maciejewski P., Szymkowiak M., Adamik B., Catorze N., Branco M. C., Barros I., Barros N., Krystopchuk A., Honrado T., Sousa C., Munoz F., Rebelo M., Gomes R., Nunes J., Dias Celeste., Fernandes A. M., Petrisor C., Constantin B., Belskiy V., Boskholov B., Rodriguez E., Rebollo S., Aguilar G., Masdeu G., Jaimes M. I., Mira A. P., Bodi Maria. A., Mendoza J. A. B., Cuenca S. L., Guzman M. H., Rico-Feijoo J., Ibarz M., Alvarez J. T., Kawati R., Sivik J., Nauska J., Smole D., Parenmark F., Lyren J., Rockstroh K., Ryden S., Strinnholm M., Walther S., De Geer L., Nordlund P., Palsson S., Zetterquist H., Nilsson A., Thiringer K., Jungner M., Bark B., Nordling B., Skold H., Brorsson C., Persson S., Bergstrom A., Berkius J., Holmstrom J., van Dijk I., van Lelyveld-Haas L. E. M., Ramnarain D., Jansen T., Nooteboom F., van der Voort P. H. J., Dieperink W., de Waard M. C., Bormans L., Dormans Tom., Dempsey G., Mathew S. J., Raj A. S., Grecu I., Cupitt J., Lawton T., Clark R., Popescu M., Spittle N., Faulkner M., Cowton A., Elloway E., Williams P., Reay M., Chukkambotla S., Kumar R., Al-Subaie N., Kent L., Tamm T., Kajtor I., Burns K., Pugh R., Ostermann M., Kam E., Bowyer H., Smith N., Templeton M., Henning J., Goffin K., Kapoor R., Laha S., Chilton P., Khaliq W., Crayford A., Coetzee S., Tait M., Stoker W., Gimenez M., Pope A., Camsooksai J., Pogson D., Quigley K., Ritzema J., Hormis A., Boulanger C., Balasubramaniam M., Vamplew L., Burt K., Martin D., Craig J., Prowle J., Doyle N., Shelton J., Scott Carmen., Donnison P., Shelton S., Frey C., Ryan C., Spray D., Barnes V., Barnes K., Ridgway S., Saha R., Clark T., Wood J., Bolger C., Bassford C., Lewandowski J., Zhao X., Humphreys S., Dowling S., Richardson N., Burtenshaw A., Stevenson C., Wilcock D., Nalapko Y. |
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Přispěvatelé: | Microbes in Health and Disease (MHD), Critical care, Anesthesiology, Peri-operative and Emergency medicine (CAPE), Medical Informatics, APH - Methodology, APH - Quality of Care, de Lange, D, Brinkman, S, Flaatten, H, Boumendil, A, Morandi, A, Andersen, F, Artigas, A, Bertolini, G, Cecconi, M, Christensen, S, Faraldi, L, Fjolner, J, Jung, C, Marsh, B, Favarato, M, Oeyen, S, Ohman, C, Bollen Pinto, B, de Smet, A, Soliman, I, Szczeklik, W, Valentin, A, Watson, X, Zafeiridis, T, Guidet, B, Schmutz, R, Wimmer, F, Eller, P, Joannidis, M, De Buysscher, P, De Neve, N, Swinnen, W, Abraham, P, Hergafi, L, Schefold, J, Biskup, E, Piza, P, Taliadoros, I, Dey, N, Solling, C, Rasmussen, B, Forceville, X, Besch, G, Mentec, H, Michel, P, Mateu, P, Vettoretti, L, Bourenne, J, Marin, N, Guillot, M, Aissaoui, N, Goulenok, C, Thieulot-Rolin, N, Messika, J, Lamhaut, L, Charron, C, Lauten, A, Sacher, A, Brenner, T, Franz, M, Bloos, F, Ebelt, H, Schaller, S, Fuest, K, Rabe, C, Dieck, T, Steiner, S, Graf, T, Nia, A, Janosi, R, Meybohm, P, Simon, P, Utzolino, S, Rahmel, T, Barth, E, Schuster, M, Aidoni, Z, Aloizos, S, Tasioudis, P, Lampiri, K, Zisopoulou, V, Ravani, I, Pagaki, E, Antoniou, A, Katsoulas, T, Kounougeri, A, Marinakis, G, Tsimpoukas, F, Spyropoulou, A, Zygoulis, P, Kyparissi, A, Gupta, M, Gurjar, M, Maji, I, Hayes, I, Kelly, Y, Westbrook, A, Fitzpatrick, G, Maheshwari, D, Motherway, C, Negri, G, Spadaro, S, Nattino, G, Pedeferri, M, Boscolo, A, Rossi, S, Calicchio, G, Cubattoli, L, Di Lascio, G, Barbagallo, M, Berruto, F, Codazzi, D, Bottazzi, A, Fumagalli, P, Negro, G, Lupi, G, Savelli, F, Vulcano, G, Fumagalli, R, Marudi, A, Lefons, U, Lembo, R, Babini, M, Paggioro, A, Parrini, V, Zaccaria, M, Clementi, S, Gigliuto, C, Facondini, F, Pastorini, S, Munaron, S, Calamai, I, Bocchi, A, Adorni, A, Bocci, M, Cortegiani, A, Casalicchio, T, Mellea, S, Graziani, E, Barattini, M, Brizio, E, Rossi, M, Hahn, M, Kemmerer, N, Strietzel, H, Dybwik, K, Legernaes, T, Klepstad, P, Olaussen, E, Olsen, K, Brresen, O, Bjorsvik, G, Maini, S, Fehrle, L, Czuczwar, M, Krawczyk, P, Zietkiewicz, M, Nowak, L, Kotfis, K, Cwyl, K, Gajdosz, R, Biernawska, J, Bohatyrewicz, R, Gawda, R, Grudzien, P, Nasilowski, P, Popek, N, Cyrankiewicz, W, Wawrzyniak, K, Wnuk, M, Maciejewski, D, Studzinska, D, Zukowski, M, Bernas, S, Piechota, M, Nowak, I, Fronczek, J, Serwa, M, Machala, W, Stefaniak, J, Wujtewicz, M, Maciejewski, P, Szymkowiak, M, Adamik, B, Catorze, N, Branco, M, Barros, I, Barros, N, Krystopchuk, A, Honrado, T, Sousa, C, Munoz, F, Rebelo, M, Gomes, R, Nunes, J, Dias, C, Fernandes, A, Petrisor, C, Constantin, B, Belskiy, V, Boskholov, B, Rodriguez, E, Rebollo, S, Aguilar, G, Masdeu, G, Jaimes, M, Mira, A, Bodi, M, Mendoza, J, Cuenca, S, Guzman, M, Rico-Feijoo, J, Ibarz, M, Alvarez, J, Kawati, R, Sivik, J, Nauska, J, Smole, D, Parenmark, F, Lyren, J, Rockstroh, K, Ryden, S, Strinnholm, M, Walther, S, De Geer, L, Nordlund, P, Palsson, S, Zetterquist, H, Nilsson, A, Thiringer, K, Jungner, M, Bark, B, Nordling, B, Skold, H, Brorsson, C, Persson, S, Bergstrom, A, Berkius, J, Holmstrom, J, van Dijk, I, van Lelyveld-Haas, L, Ramnarain, D, Jansen, T, Nooteboom, F, van der Voort, P, Dieperink, W, de Waard, M, Bormans, L, Dormans, T, Dempsey, G, Mathew, S, Raj, A, Grecu, I, Cupitt, J, Lawton, T, Clark, R, Popescu, M, Spittle, N, Faulkner, M, Cowton, A, Elloway, E, Williams, P, Reay, M, Chukkambotla, S, Kumar, R, Al-Subaie, N, Kent, L, Tamm, T, Kajtor, I, Burns, K, Pugh, R, Ostermann, M, Kam, E, Bowyer, H, Smith, N, Templeton, M, Henning, J, Goffin, K, Kapoor, R, Laha, S, Chilton, P, Khaliq, W, Crayford, A, Coetzee, S, Tait, M, Stoker, W, Gimenez, M, Pope, A, Camsooksai, J, Pogson, D, Quigley, K, Ritzema, J, Hormis, A, Boulanger, C, Balasubramaniam, M, Vamplew, L, Burt, K, Martin, D, Craig, J, Prowle, J, Doyle, N, Shelton, J, Scott, C, Donnison, P, Shelton, S, Frey, C, Ryan, C, Spray, D, Barnes, V, Barnes, K, Ridgway, S, Saha, R, Clark, T, Wood, J, Bolger, C, Bassford, C, Lewandowski, J, Zhao, X, Humphreys, S, Dowling, S, Richardson, N, Burtenshaw, A, Stevenson, C, Wilcock, D, Nalapko, Y, de Lange D.W., Brinkman S., Flaatten H., Boumendil A., Morandi A., Andersen F.H., Artigas A., Bertolini G., Cecconi M., Christensen S., Faraldi L., Fjolner J., Jung C., Marsh B., Moreno R., Oeyen S., Ohman C.A., Bollen Pinto B., de Smet A.M.G.A., Soliman I.W., Szczeklik W., Valentin A., Watson X., Zafeiridis T., Guidet B., Schmutz R., Wimmer F., Eller P., Joannidis M., De Buysscher P., De Neve N., Swinnen W., Abraham P., Hergafi L., Schefold Joerg.C., Biskup E., Piza P., Taliadoros I., Dey N., Solling C., Rasmussen B.S., Forceville X., Besch G., Mentec H., Michel P., Mateu P., Vettoretti L., Bourenne J., Marin N., Guillot M., Aissaoui N., Goulenok C., Thieulot-Rolin N., Messika J., Lamhaut L., Charron C., Lauten A., Sacher A.L., Brenner T., Franz M., Bloos F., Ebelt H., Schaller S.J., Fuest Kristina., Rabe C., Dieck T., Steiner S., Graf T., Nia A.M., Janosi R.A., Meybohm P., Simon P., Utzolino S., Rahmel T., Barth E., Schuster M., Aidoni Z., Aloizos S., Tasioudis P., Lampiri K., Zisopoulou V., Ravani I., Pagaki E., Antoniou A., Katsoulas T.A., Kounougeri A., Marinakis G., Tsimpoukas F., Spyropoulou A., Zygoulis P., Kyparissi A., Gupta M., Gurjar M., Maji I.M., Hayes I., Kelly Y., Westbrook A., Fitzpatrick G., Maheshwari D., Motherway C., Negri G., Spadaro S., Nattino G., Pedeferri M., Boscolo A., Rossi S., Calicchio G., Cubattoli L., Di Lascio G., Barbagallo M., Berruto F., Codazzi D., Bottazzi A., Fumagalli P., Negro G., Lupi G., Savelli F., Vulcano Giuseppe.A., Fumagalli R., Marudi A., Lefons U., Lembo R., Babini M., Paggioro A., Parrini V., Zaccaria M., Clementi S., Gigliuto C., Facondini F., Pastorini S., Munaron S., Calamai I., Bocchi A., Adorni A., Bocci M.G., Cortegiani A., Casalicchio T., Mellea S., Graziani E., Barattini M., Brizio E., Rossi M., Hahn M., Kemmerer N., Strietzel H.F., Dybwik K., Legernaes T., Klepstad P., Olaussen E.B., Olsen K.I., Brresen O.M., Bjorsvik G., Maini S., Fehrle L., Czuczwar M., Krawczyk P., Zietkiewicz M., Nowak L.R., Kotfis K., Cwyl K., Gajdosz R., Biernawska J., Bohatyrewicz Romuald., Gawda R., Grudzien P., Nasilowski P., Popek N., Cyrankiewicz W., Wawrzyniak K., Wnuk M., Maciejewski D., Studzinska D., Zukowski M., Bernas S., Piechota M., Nowak I., Fronczek J., Serwa M., Machala W., Stefaniak J., Wujtewicz M., Maciejewski P., Szymkowiak M., Adamik B., Catorze N., Branco M.C., Barros I., Barros N., Krystopchuk A., Honrado T., Sousa C., Munoz F., Rebelo M., Gomes R., Nunes J., Dias Celeste., Fernandes A.M., Petrisor C., Constantin B., Belskiy V., Boskholov B., Rodriguez E., Rebollo S., Aguilar G., Masdeu G., Jaimes M.I., Mira A.P., Bodi Maria.A., Mendoza J.A.B., Cuenca S.L., Guzman M.H., Rico-Feijoo J., Ibarz M., Alvarez J.T., Kawati R., Sivik J., Nauska J., Smole D., Parenmark F., Lyren J., Rockstroh K., Ryden S., Strinnholm M., Walther S., De Geer L., Nordlund P., Palsson S., Zetterquist H., Nilsson A., Thiringer K., Jungner M., Bark B., Nordling B., Skold H., Brorsson C., Persson S., Bergstrom A., Berkius J., Holmstrom J., van Dijk I., van Lelyveld-Haas L.E.M., Ramnarain D., Jansen T., Nooteboom F., van der Voort P.H.J., Dieperink W., de Waard M.C., Bormans L., Dormans Tom., Dempsey G., Mathew S.J., Raj A.S., Grecu I., Cupitt J., Lawton T., Clark R., Popescu M., Spittle N., Faulkner M., Cowton A., Elloway E., Williams P., Reay M., Chukkambotla S., Kumar R., Al-Subaie N., Kent L., Tamm T., Kajtor I., Burns K., Pugh R., Ostermann M., Kam E., Bowyer H., Smith N., Templeton M., Henning J., Goffin K., Kapoor R., Laha S., Chilton P., Khaliq W., Crayford A., Coetzee S., Tait M., Stoker W., Gimenez M., Pope A., Camsooksai J., Pogson D., Quigley K., Ritzema J., Hormis A., Boulanger C., Balasubramaniam M., Vamplew L., Burt K., Martin D., Craig J., Prowle J., Doyle N., Shelton J., Scott Carmen., Donnison P., Shelton S., Frey C., Ryan C., Spray D., Barnes V., Barnes K., Ridgway S., Saha R., Clark T., Wood J., Bolger C., Bassford C., Lewandowski J., Zhao X., Humphreys S., Dowling S., Richardson N., Burtenshaw A., Stevenson C., Wilcock D., Nalapko Y., University Medical Center [Utrecht], University of Amsterdam [Amsterdam] (UvA), Public Health Service of Amsterdam, University of Bergen (UiB), Haukeland University Hospital, Service de Réanimation Médicale [CHU Saint-Antoine], Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-CHU Saint-Antoine [AP-HP], Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Sorbonne Université (SU), Norwegian University of Science and Technology [Trondheim] (NTNU), Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB), Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Aarhus University Hospital, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Central E.P.E, Ghent University Hospital, Karolinska University Hospital [Stockholm], Geneva University Hospital (HUG), University Medical Center Groningen [Groningen] (UMCG), Uniwersytet Jagielloński w Krakowie = Jagiellonian University (UJ), Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique (iPLESP), Sorbonne Université (SU)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), VIP1 Study Group (Beitragende*r), Janosi, Rolf Alexander (Beitragende*r) |
Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2019 |
Předmět: |
Male
INTENSIVE-CARE-UNIT Organ Dysfunction Scores medicine.medical_treatment Prognosis Medizin DECISION-MAKING Logistic regression law.invention older adult 0302 clinical medicine PHYSICIANS Interquartile range law 80 and over Medicine and Health Sciences 030212 general & internal medicine Hospital Mortality Prospective Studies Prospective cohort study older adults Aged 80 and over predict ddc:617 Respiration [SDV.MHEP.GEG]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Geriatry and gerontology Brief Report Intensive care unit ADMISSION 3. Good health Europe Hospitalization Intensive Care Units Brier score Older adults Artificial Female prognosi medicine.medical_specialty critical care model prognosis Humans Respiration Artificial 03 medical and health sciences Intensive care medicine Journal Article ILL ELDERLY-PATIENTS Renal replacement therapy Aged Receiver operating characteristic business.industry 030208 emergency & critical care medicine Emergency medicine [SDV.SPEE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie Brief Reports Geriatrics and Gerontology business |
Zdroj: | Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 67(6), 1263-1267. Wiley-Blackwell Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 67(6), 1263. Wiley-Blackwell Journal of The American Geriatrics Society JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN GERIATRICS SOCIETY Journal of the American Geriatrics Society Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, Wiley, In press, ⟨10.1111/jgs.15888⟩ de Lange, D W, Brinkman, S, Flaatten, H, Boumendil, A, Morandi, A, Andersen, F H, Artigas, A, Bertolini, G, Cecconi, M, Christensen, S, Faraldi, L, Fjølner, J, Jung, C, Marsh, B, Moreno, R, Oeyen, S, Öhman, C A, Bollen Pinto, B, de Smet, A M G A, Soliman, I W, Szczeklik, W, Valentin, A, Watson, X, Zafeiridis, T, Guidet, B & On behalf of the VIP1 Study Group 2019, ' Cumulative Prognostic Score Predicting Mortality in Patients Older Than 80 Years Admitted to the ICU ', Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, vol. 67, no. 6, pp. 1263-1267 . https://doi.org/10.1111/jgs.15888 Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, Vol. 67, No 6 (2019) pp. 1263-1267 Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona |
ISSN: | 0002-8614 1532-5415 |
DOI: | 10.1111/jgs.15888⟩ |
Popis: | OBJECTIVES To develop a scoring system model that predicts mortality within 30 days of admission of patients older than 80 years admitted to intensive care units (ICUs). DESIGN Prospective cohort study. SETTING A total of 306 ICUs from 24 European countries. PARTICIPANTS Older adults admitted to European ICUs (N = 3730; median age = 84 years [interquartile range = 81‐87 y]; 51.8% male). MEASUREMENTS Overall, 24 variables available during ICU admission were included as potential predictive variables. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of 30‐day mortality. Model sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were evaluated with receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS The 30‐day‐mortality was 1562 (41.9%). In multivariable analysis, these variables were selected as independent predictors of mortality: age, sex, ICU admission diagnosis, Clinical Frailty Scale, Sequential Organ Failure Score, invasive mechanical ventilation, and renal replacement therapy. The discrimination, accuracy, and calibration of the model were good: the area under the curve for a score of 10 or higher was .80, and the Brier score was .18. At a cut point of 10 or higher (75% of all patients), the model predicts 30‐day mortality in 91.1% of all patients who die. CONCLUSION A predictive model of cumulative events predicts 30‐day mortality in patients older than 80 years admitted to ICUs. Future studies should include other potential predictor variables including functional status, presence of advance care plans, and assessment of each patient's decision‐making capacity. © 2019 The Authors. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of The American Geriatrics Society. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution‐NonCommercial License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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