Water rights shape crop yield and revenue volatility tradeoffs for adaptation in snow dependent systems
| Autor: | Jennifer C. Adam, Patrick M. Reed, Tina Karimi, K. Malek, Michael P. Brady |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
0301 basic medicine
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences Natural resource economics Science Drainage basin General Physics and Astronomy Climate change Growing season 01 natural sciences General Biochemistry Genetics and Molecular Biology Article 03 medical and health sciences Revenue Agricultural productivity lcsh:Science 0105 earth and related environmental sciences geography Multidisciplinary geography.geographical_feature_category Crop yield Agriculture General Chemistry Snow 030104 developmental biology Environmental science lcsh:Q Volatility (finance) Hydrology |
| Zdroj: | Nature Communications, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2020) Nature Communications |
| ISSN: | 2041-1723 |
| DOI: | 10.1038/s41467-020-17219-z |
| Popis: | Irrigated agriculture in snow-dependent regions contributes significantly to global food production. This study quantifies the impacts of climate change on irrigated agriculture in the snow-dependent Yakima River Basin (YRB) in the Pacific Northwest United States. Here we show that increasingly severe droughts and temperature driven reductions in growing season significantly reduces expected annual agricultural productivity. The overall reduction in mean annual productivity also dampens interannual yield variability, limiting yield-driven revenue fluctuations. Our findings show that farmers who adapt to climate change by planting improved crop varieties may potentially increase their expected mean annaul productivity in an altered climate, but remain strongly vulnerable to irrigation water shortages that substantially increase interannual yield variability (i.e., increasing revenue volatility). Our results underscore the importance for crop adaptation strategies to simultaneously capture the biophysical effects of warming as well as the institutional controls on water availability. Studies on examining the climate impact on irrigated agriculture do not account for regional specific details. Here the authors studied both the direct and indirect impact of climate change on irrigated agriculture in the Yakima River Basin (YRB) and found that increasingly severe droughts and temperature driven reductions in growing season significantly reduces expected annual agricultural productivity. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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