Role of Aedes aegypti (Linnaeus) and Aedes albopictus (Skuse) in local dengue epidemics in Taiwan
| Autor: | Hwa-Jen Teng, Pui-Jen Tsai |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2016 |
| Předmět: |
0301 basic medicine
Veterinary medicine Aedes albopictus 030231 tropical medicine Population Taiwan Mosquito Vectors Aedes aegypti Population density lcsh:Infectious and parasitic diseases Dengue fever Dengue 03 medical and health sciences Global bivariate Moran’s I 0302 clinical medicine Aedes medicine Animals Humans lcsh:RC109-216 Epidemics education Aedes mosquitoes Population Density Spatial Analysis education.field_of_study Models Statistical biology Ecology Incidence Incidence (epidemiology) fungi Breteau index virus diseases Geographically weighted regression Dengue Virus biology.organism_classification medicine.disease Geographically Weighted Regression 030104 developmental biology Infectious Diseases Regression Analysis Research Article |
| Zdroj: | BMC Infectious Diseases, Vol 16, Iss 1, Pp 1-20 (2016) BMC Infectious Diseases |
| ISSN: | 1471-2334 |
| Popis: | Background Aedes mosquitoes in Taiwan mainly comprise Aedes albopictus and Ae. aegypti. However, the species contributing to autochthonous dengue spread and the extent at which it occurs remain unclear. Thus, in this study, we spatially analyzed real data to determine spatial features related to local dengue incidence and mosquito density, particularly that of Ae. albopictus and Ae. aegypti. Methods We used bivariate Moran’s I statistic and geographically weighted regression (GWR) spatial methods to analyze the globally spatial dependence and locally regressed relationship between (1) imported dengue incidences and Breteau indices (BIs) of Ae. albopictus, (2) imported dengue incidences and BI of Ae. aegypti, (3) autochthonous dengue incidences and BI of Ae. albopictus, (4) autochthonous dengue incidences and BI of Ae. aegypti, (5) all dengue incidences and BI of Ae. albopictus, (6) all dengue incidences and BI of Ae. aegypti, (7) BI of Ae. albopictus and human population density, and (8) BI of Ae. aegypti and human population density in 348 townships in Taiwan. Results In the GWR models, regression coefficients of spatially regressed relationships between the incidence of autochthonous dengue and vector density of Ae. aegypti were significant and positive in most townships in Taiwan. However, Ae. albopictus had significant but negative regression coefficients in clusters of dengue epidemics. In the global bivariate Moran’s index, spatial dependence between the incidence of autochthonous dengue and vector density of Ae. aegypti was significant and exhibited positive correlation in Taiwan (bivariate Moran’s index = 0.51). However, Ae. albopictus exhibited positively significant but low correlation (bivariate Moran’s index = 0.06). Similar results were observed in the two spatial methods between all dengue incidences and Aedes mosquitoes (Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus). The regression coefficients of spatially regressed relationships between imported dengue cases and Aedes mosquitoes (Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus) were significant in 348 townships in Taiwan. The results indicated that local Aedes mosquitoes do not contribute to the dengue incidence of imported cases. The density of Ae. aegypti positively correlated with the density of human population. By contrast, the density of Ae. albopictus negatively correlated with the density of human population in the areas of southern Taiwan. The results indicated that Ae. aegypti has more opportunities for human–mosquito contact in dengue endemic areas in southern Taiwan. Conclusions Ae. aegypti, but not Ae. albopictus, and human population density in southern Taiwan are closely associated with an increased risk of autochthonous dengue incidence. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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