Projecting Long-Term Care Expenditure in Four European Union Member States: The Influence of Demographic Scenarios
| Autor: | Alessandro Pozzi, Concepció Patxot, Raphael Wittenberg, Cristiano Gori, Linda Pickard, Heinz Rothgang, Alessandra di Maio, Joan Costa-Font, Adelina Comas-Herrera |
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| Rok vydání: | 2007 |
| Předmět: |
Sociology and Political Science
media_common.quotation_subject General Social Sciences Social Welfare HV Social pathology. Social and public welfare. Criminology Projections of population growth Long-term care Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous) Demographic change Development economics Developmental and Educational Psychology Life expectancy Economics media_common.cataloged_instance Demographic economics European union Welfare media_common Social policy |
| Zdroj: | Social Indicators Research. 86:303-321 |
| ISSN: | 1573-0921 0303-8300 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s11205-007-9140-4 |
| Popis: | This study examines the sensitivity of future long-term care demand and expenditure estimates to official demographic projections in four selected European countries: Germany, Spain, Italy and the United Kingdom. It uses standardised methodology in the form of a macro-simulation exercise and finds evidence for significant differences in assumptions about demographic change and its effect on the demand for long-term care, and on relative and absolute long-term care expenditure. It concludes that mortality-rate assumptions can have a considerable influence on welfare policy planning. Relative dispersion between country-specific and Eurostat official estimates was found to be higher for the United Kingdom and Germany than for Italy and Spain, suggesting that demographic projections had a greater influence in those countries. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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