Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons from the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation

Autor: Hoffmann, Sandra, Hald, Tine, Angulo, Fred, Hamzah, Wan Mansor Bin, Bellinger, David, Black, Robert, de Silva, Nilanthi, Döpfer, Dörte, Havelaar, Arie, Gibb, Herman, Kasuga, Fumiko, Lake, Rob, Rokni, Muhammad B., Speybroeck, Niko, Aspinall, Willy, Cooke, Roger, Devleesschauwer, Brecht, Pires, Sara M., dIRAS RA-I&I RA
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
Risk
Risk analysis
Expert judgment
Food Safety
Internationality
Knowledge management
Synthesis methods
0211 other engineering and technologies
Research synthesis
02 engineering and technology
Disease
World Health Organization
Expert elicitation
Risk Assessment
Foodborne Diseases
03 medical and health sciences
0302 clinical medicine
Multidisciplinary approach
Physiology (medical)
Humans
Medicine
030212 general & internal medicine
Program Development
Safety
Risk
Reliability and Quality
Uncertainty quantification
Disease burden
Reference group
021110 strategic
defence & security studies
Geography
Source attribution
business.industry
Management science
Data Collection
Exposure estimates
Foodborne illness
Reliability and Quality
Scale (social sciences)
Calibration
Food Microbiology
Systematic review
Public Health
Safety
business
Zdroj: Risk Analysis, 36(2), 191. Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd
ISSN: 0272-4332
Popis: We live in an age that increasingly calls for national or regional management of global risks. This article discusses the contributions that expert elicitation can bring to efforts to manage global risks and identifies challenges faced in conducting expert elicitation at this scale. In doing so it draws on lessons learned from conducting an expert elicitation as part of the World Health Organizations (WHO) initiative to estimate the global burden of foodborne disease; a study commissioned by the Foodborne Disease Epidemiology Reference Group (FERG). Expert elicitation is designed to fill gaps in data and research using structured, transparent methods. Such gaps are a significant challenge for global risk modeling. Experience with the WHO FERG expert elicitation shows that it is feasible to conduct an expert elicitation at a global scale, but that challenges do arise, including: defining an informative, yet feasible geographical structure for the elicitation; defining what constitutes expertise in a global setting; structuring international, multidisciplinary expert panels; and managing demands on experts' time in the elicitation. This article was written as part of a workshop, "Methods for Research Synthesis: A Cross-Disciplinary Approach" held at the Harvard Center for Risk Analysis on October 13, 2013.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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