Technical note: Data assimilation and autoregression for using near-real-time streamflow observations in long short-term memory networks

Autor: Grey S. Nearing, Daniel Klotz, Jonathan M. Frame, Martin Gauch, Oren Gilon, Frederik Kratzert, Alden Keefe Sampson, Guy Shalev, Sella Nevo
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 26:5493-5513
ISSN: 1607-7938
DOI: 10.5194/hess-26-5493-2022
Popis: Ingesting near-real-time observation data is a critical component of many operational hydrological forecasting systems. In this paper, we compare two strategies for ingesting near-real-time streamflow observations into long short-term memory (LSTM) rainfall–runoff models: autoregression (a forward method) and variational data assimilation. Autoregression is both more accurate and more computationally efficient than data assimilation. Autoregression is sensitive to missing data, however an appropriate (and simple) training strategy mitigates this problem. We introduce a data assimilation procedure for recurrent deep learning models that uses backpropagation to make the state updates.
Databáze: OpenAIRE