Tornado activity, house prices, and stock returns

Autor: M. Ghisletti, Michael Donadelli, Antonio Paradiso, Marcus Jüppner
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. 52:101162
ISSN: 1062-9408
DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2020.101162
Popis: In this paper we investigate the effects of tornado activity on house prices and stock returns in the US. First, using geo-referenced and metropolitan statistical area (MSA)-level data, we find tornado activity to be responsible for a significant drop in house prices. Spillover tornado effects between adjacent MSAs are also detected. Furthermore, our granular analysis provides evidence of tornadoes having a negative impact on stock returns. However, only two sectors seem to contribute to such a negative effect (i.e., consumer discretionary and telecommunications). In a macro-analysis, which relies on aggregate data for the South, West, Midwest and Northeast US regions, we then show that tornado activity generates a significant drop in house prices only in the South and Midwest. In these regions, tornadoes are also responsible for a drop in income. Tornado activity is finally found to positively (negatively) affect stock returns in the Midwest (South). If different sectors are examined, a more heterogeneous picture emerges.
Databáze: OpenAIRE