Candidate competition and voter learning in the 2000–2012 US presidential primaries
| Autor: | George Deltas, Mattias K. Polborn |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2018 |
| Předmět: |
Economics and Econometrics
Sociology and Political Science Presidential system media_common.quotation_subject 05 social sciences First order 0506 political science Competition (economics) Primary election Sequential voting Voting 0502 economics and business 050602 political science & public administration Economics Quality (business) 050207 economics Positive economics media_common |
| Zdroj: | Public Choice. 178:115-151 |
| ISSN: | 1573-7101 0048-5829 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s11127-018-0620-7 |
| Popis: | When candidates in primary elections are ideologically differentiated (e.g., conservatives and moderates in the Republican party), then candidates with similar positions affect each others' vote shares more strongly than candidates with different ideological positions. We measure this effect in U.S. Presidential primaries and show that it is of first order importance. We also show that voter beliefs about the candidates harden over the course of the primary, as manifested in the variability of candidate vote shares. We discuss models of sequential voting that cannot yield this pattern of results, and propose an explanation based on a model with horizontally and vertically differentiated candidates and incompletely informed voters. Consistent with the predictions of this model, we also show that, in more conservative states, low quality conservative candidates do better relative to high quality conservatives, and vice versa. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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