A road map for explorative scenario creation on Belgian rail freight transport development
Autor: | Angélique Léonard, Vidar Stevens, Christine Maher Fouad Tawfik, Christa Sys, Florent Laroche, Sandra Belboom, Frank Troch, Angel Merchan, Thierry Vanelslander, Martine Mostert, Koen Verhoest, Sabine Limbourg |
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Přispěvatelé: | Department of Transport and Regional Economics, University of Antwerp (UA), BNP Paribas Fortis chair on transport, logistics and ports, Université de Liège |
Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2017 |
Předmět: |
rail freight
Economics 020209 energy Rail freight transport Delphi method 02 engineering and technology Management Science and Operations Research Transport engineering Intermodal Delphi technique 11. Sustainability 0502 economics and business 0202 electrical engineering electronic engineering information engineering Point (geometry) survey Scenario analysis Road map SWOT analysis 050210 logistics & transportation business.industry 05 social sciences Mode (statistics) scenario analysis [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance General Business Management and Accounting Chain (unit) Business |
Zdroj: | Competition and Regulation in Network Industries Competition and Regulation in Network Industries, SAGE Publications, 2017, 18 (1-2), pp.3-21. ⟨10.1177/1783591717734792⟩ Competition and regulation in network industries |
ISSN: | 1783-5917 2399-2956 |
DOI: | 10.1177/1783591717734792⟩ |
Popis: | International audience; The starting point of this article is the weak usage of rail freight in Belgium and Europe, both as a sustainable mode of land transportation in itself as well as a part of the intermodal chain. The results are obtained by transversal research on rail freight transport in Belgium, taking into account the European context. This interdisciplinary research develops a road map for the creation of three integrated scenarios: a best case, medium case and worst case scenario for rail freight development, based on a detailed SWOT (strength, weakness, opportunities, threats) analysis. It includes the most probable future developments for rail freight transport and hinterland connections. These developments are obtained from literature review and discussions with a heterogeneous panel of experts in the fields of (i) optimal corridor and hub development, (ii) macroeconomic impact, (iii) sustainability, (iv) effective market regulation and (v) governance and organization for a well-functioning intermodality. The Delphi approach is used in combination with a survey analysis. Frequency tables and the H-index allow defining a ranking and selection of SWOT elements. The obtained scenarios allow future research to quantify and measure the impact of future developments and decisions towards the Belgian rail freight market. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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