Extreme temperatures and mortality in the North of Spain
| Autor: | Javier Llorca, Trinidad Dierssen-Sotos, Paz Rodríguez-Cundín, Inés Gómez-Acebo |
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| Rok vydání: | 2011 |
| Předmět: |
Adult
Male Hot Temperature Health (social science) Adolescent Population Young Adult symbols.namesake Sex Factors Risk Factors Humans Poisson regression Mortality education Aged Aged 80 and over education.field_of_study Cold season Age Factors Temperature Public Health Environmental and Occupational Health Middle Aged Spain symbols Environmental science Female Seasons Demography |
| Zdroj: | International Journal of Public Health. 57:305-313 |
| ISSN: | 1661-8564 1661-8556 |
| Popis: | To study the relationship between mortality and temperature in Cantabria, a Spanish region that includes both rural and urban areas. Meteorological data (2003–2006) were obtained from the Spanish Meteorological Agency and daily numbers of deaths were obtained from the Spanish Institute for Statistics. A graphical approach using locally weighted regression smoothing was used to explore the relationship between mortality and temperatures and to identify temperature thresholds; we estimated the excess of mortality due to extreme temperatures in both warm and cold periods using Poisson regression models, and we simulated a situation with increased temperatures. Raising maximum or minimum temperatures by 1oC was associated with a 2% excess in mortality risk in the whole population throughout the warm period, and we found no effect in mortality on the cold season; almost all changes in mortality occur in people aged 65 or more. Women are more sensitive to temperature changes in the warmer months. The deleterious effect of increasing temperatures in summer is more pronounced than the beneficial effect of a similar increase in winter. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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