Sustainable Determinants That Affect Tourist Arrival Forecasting
| Autor: | Violeta Šugar, Tea Baldigara, Sergej Gričar |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
2019-20 coronavirus outbreak
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Croatia tourist arrivals Yield (finance) Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Geography Planning and Development Slovenia TJ807-830 Management Monitoring Policy and Law Diversification (marketing strategy) Affect (psychology) TD194-195 Renewable energy sources GE1-350 Economic geography cointegration external factors vector autoregressive model Cointegration Environmental effects of industries and plants Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment Building and Construction Environmental sciences Geography Tourism |
| Zdroj: | Sustainability Volume 13 Issue 17 Sustainability, Vol 13, Iss 9659, p 9659 (2021) |
| ISSN: | 2071-1050 |
| DOI: | 10.3390/su13179659 |
| Popis: | This study considers diversification effects and significant influences on tourist arrivals as a vital export direction. Different quantitative methods, namely a cointegrated-autoregressive model, panels, sentiment and sensitivity analysis, were used in this study. The time-series data for Croatia and Slovenia were isolated from several secondary sources. The variables examined in this approach are tourist arrivals, precipitations, sunny days, earthquakes, microbes and CO2 emissions. The study results showed that there is a severe negative effect on tourist arrivals defined by viruses. Moreover, there is a significant decisive effect of weather conditions on tourist arrivals. Nevertheless, it is necessary to move past Covid-19 pandemic discussions to yield more accurate tourism supply forecasts, while demand is already somehow low since the beginning of 2020. The primary significance is to develop a broader thinking about the impacts of CO2 emissions on the tourism escorted to official tourist websites. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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