Characteristics of people living in Italy after a cancer diagnosis in 2010 and projections to 2020
Autor: | Paolo Ricci, Anna Luisa Caiazzo, Stefano Guzzinati, Flavio Sensi, Massimo Rugge, F Tisano, Anna Gigli, Rosario Tumino, Diego Serraino, Giuseppa Candela, Fabrizio Stracci, Giovanna Tagliabue, Lucia Mangone, Guido Mazzoleni, Antonio Russo, Stefano Ferretti, Adriano Giacomin, G Gola, F Pala, Marine Castaing, Fabio Pannozzo, Roberta De Angelis, Maria Michiara, Saverio Virdone, Claudia Casella, Laura Botta, Luigino Dal Maso, Carlotta Buzzoni, Silvia Francisci, A.C. Fanetti, Giuseppa Rudisi, Fabio Falcini, Antonella Sutera Sardo, Mario Fusco, Chiara Panato, Bianca Caruso, Manuel Zorzi, Riccardo Capocaccia |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2018 |
Předmět: |
Male
Cancer Research Cancer prevalence Italy Projections Survivors Adolescent Adult Age Distribution Aged Aged 80 and over Child Child Preschool Female Forecasting Humans Infant Infant Newborn Middle Aged Neoplasms Prevalence Registries Sex Distribution Young Adult Oncology Genetics Prostate cancer 0302 clinical medicine Epidemiology of cancer 80 and over 030212 general & internal medicine Young adult Thyroid cancer education.field_of_study lcsh:Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens 3. Good health 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis Research Article Population Socio-culturale lcsh:RC254-282 03 medical and health sciences Breast cancer medicine Preschool education business.industry Cancer Newborn medicine.disease Cancer registry business Demography |
Zdroj: | BMC Cancer, Vol 18, Iss 1, Pp 1-13 (2018) BMC Cancer BMC cancer (Online) 18 (2018): 1–13. doi:10.1186/s12885-018-4053-y info:cnr-pdr/source/autori:Guzzinati, Stefano; Virdone, Saverio; De Angelis, Roberta; Panato, Chiara; Buzzoni, Carlotta; Capocaccia, Riccardo; Francisci, Silvia; Gigli, Anna; Zorzi, Manuel; Tagliabue, Giovanna; Serraino, Diego; Falcini, Fabio; Casella, Claudia; Russo, Antonio Giampiero; Stracci, Fabrizio; Caruso, Bianca; Michiara, Maria; Caiazzo, Anna Luisa; Castaing, Marine; Ferretti, Stefano; Mangone, Lucia; Rudisi, Giuseppa; Sensi, Flavio; Mazzoleni, Guido; Pannozzo, Fabio; Tumino, Rosario; Fusco, Mario; Ricci, Paolo; Gola, Gemma; Giacomin, Adriano; Tisano, Francesco; Candela, Giuseppa; Fanetti, Anna Clara; Pala, Filomena; Sardo, Antonella Sutera; Rugge, Massimo; Botta, Laura; Dal Mase, Luigino/titolo:Characteristics of people living in Italy after a cancer diagnosis in 2010 and projections to 2020/doi:10.1186%2Fs12885-018-4053-y/rivista:BMC cancer (Online)/anno:2018/pagina_da:1/pagina_a:13/intervallo_pagine:1–13/volume:18 |
ISSN: | 1471-2407 |
Popis: | Background Estimates of cancer prevalence are widely based on limited duration, often including patients living after a cancer diagnosis made in the previous 5 years and less frequently on complete prevalence (i.e., including all patients regardless of the time elapsed since diagnosis). This study aims to provide estimates of complete cancer prevalence in Italy by sex, age, and time since diagnosis for all cancers combined, and for selected cancer types. Projections were made up to 2020, overall and by time since diagnosis. Methods Data were from 27 Italian population-based cancer registries, covering 32% of the Italian population, able to provide at least 7 years of registration as of December 2009 and follow-up of vital status as of December 2013. The data were used to compute the limited-duration prevalence, in order to estimate the complete prevalence by means of the COMPREV software. Results In 2010, 2,637,975 persons were estimated to live in Italy after a cancer diagnosis, 1.2 million men and 1.4 million women, or 4.6% of the Italian population. A quarter of male prevalent cases had prostate cancer (n = 305,044), while 42% of prevalent women had breast cancer (n = 604,841). More than 1.5 million people (2.7% of Italians) were alive since 5 or more years after diagnosis and 20% since ≥15 years. It is projected that, in 2020 in Italy, there will be 3.6 million prevalent cancer cases (+ 37% vs 2010). The largest 10-year increases are foreseen for prostate (+ 85%) and for thyroid cancers (+ 79%), and for long-term survivors diagnosed since 20 or more years (+ 45%). Among the population aged ≥75 years, 22% will have had a previous cancer diagnosis. Conclusions The number of persons living after a cancer diagnosis is estimated to rise of approximately 3% per year in Italy. The availability of detailed estimates and projections of the complete prevalence are intended to help the implementation of guidelines aimed to enhance the long-term follow-up of cancer survivors and to contribute their rehabilitation needs. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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