Probabilistic analysis of linear-quadratic logistic-type models with hybrid uncertainties via probability density functions

Autor: Elena López-Navarro, Clara Burgos, Rafael Jacinto Villanueva, Juan Carlos Cortés
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: AIMS Mathematics, Vol 6, Iss 5, Pp 4938-4957 (2021)
RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
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ISSN: 2473-6988
DOI: 10.3934/math.2021290?viewType=HTML
Popis: [EN] We provide a full stochastic description, via the first probability density function, of the solution of linear-quadratic logistic-type differential equation whose parameters involve both continuous and discrete random variables with arbitrary distributions. For the sake of generality, the initial condition is assumed to be a random variable too. We use the Dirac delta function to unify the treatment of hybrid (discrete-continuous) uncertainty. Under general hypotheses, we also compute the density of time until a certain value (usually representing the population) of the linear-quadratic logistic model is reached. The theoretical results are illustrated by means of several examples, including an application to modelling the number of users of Spotify using real data. We apply the Principle Maximum Entropy to assign plausible distributions to model parameters
This work has been supported by the Spanish Ministerio de Economa, Industria y Competitividad (MINECO) , the Agencia Estatal de Investigaci on (AEI) and Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER UE) grant MTM201789664P. Computations have been carried thanks to the collaboration of Raul San Julian Garces and Elena Lopez Navarro granted by European Union through the Operational Program of the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) /European Social Fund (ESF) of the Valencian Community 2014-2020, grants GJIDI/2018/A/009 and GJIDI/2018/A/010, respectively
Databáze: OpenAIRE