Rate Expectations

Autor: Pieter T. M. Desmet, Jef De Mot, Michael Faure
Přispěvatelé: RS: FdR Institute M-EPLI, Maastr Inst for Transnat Legal Research, RS: FdR IC Milieurecht, RS: FdR IC Aansprakelijkheid, RS: FdR Institute METRO, RS: FdR, Law and Economics
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: Criminal Law Forum, 1-27. Springer
STARTPAGE=1;ENDPAGE=27;ISSN=1046-8374;TITLE=Criminal Law Forum
Criminal Law Forum. Springer Netherlands
ISSN: 1046-8374
Popis: We examined whether jurors who know that a prosecutor has a high conviction rate are more inclined to convict a defendant than jurors who know that the prosecutor has a low conviction rate. Using simulated criminal cases, we conducted two experimental studies with jury-eligible participants. Study 1 (N = 200) tested whether information about prior conviction rates (high or low) affected jurors’ estimations of the probability of guilt in the context of a robbery. Study 2 (N = 205) used another criminal trial context (murder) and another dependent variable (dichotomous guilty/not guilty verdicts). Study 2 also incorporated jury instructions on the reasonable doubt standard and included a control condition in which no information regarding the conviction rate was provided. In both studies, jurors in the high conviction rate treatment were significantly more likely to convict the accused than jurors in the low conviction rate treatment. When jurors are aware of a prosecutor's prior conviction rates, a self-reinforcing cycle may arise in which conviction rates determine conviction rates.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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