Regional variation in COVID-19 positive hospitalisation across Scotland during the first wave of the pandemic and its relation to population density: A cross-sectional observation study

Autor: Chris Isles, Andrew Rideout, Calum Murray
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Male
Viral Diseases
European People
Cross-sectional study
Epidemiology
Prevalence
Scottish People
Population density
Geographical locations
0302 clinical medicine
Medical Conditions
Mathematical and Statistical Techniques
Pandemic
Medicine and Health Sciences
Medicine
Ethnicities
030212 general & internal medicine
education.field_of_study
Multidisciplinary
Statistics
Middle Aged
Hospitals
Europe
Hospitalization
Social deprivation
Infectious Diseases
Regional variation
Physical Sciences
Regression Analysis
Female
Research Article
Adult
Science
Population
British People
Linear Regression Analysis
Social class
Research and Analysis Methods
03 medical and health sciences
Population Metrics
Humans
European Union
Statistical Methods
education
Pandemics
Population Density
Population Biology
business.industry
SARS-CoV-2
Biology and Life Sciences
COVID-19
Covid 19
United Kingdom
Health Care
Cross-Sectional Studies
Scotland
Health Care Facilities
Medical Risk Factors
Population Groupings
People and places
business
030217 neurology & neurosurgery
Mathematics
Demography
Zdroj: PLoS ONE
PLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 7, p e0253636 (2021)
ISSN: 1932-6203
Popis: Background There have been large regional differences in COVID-19 virus activity across the UK with many commentators suggesting that these are related to age, ethnicity and social class. There has also been a focus on cases, hospitalisations and deaths rather than on hospitalisation rates expressed per 100,000 population. The purpose of our study was to examine regional variation in COVID-19 positive hospitalisation rates in Scotland during the first wave of the pandemic and the possibility that these might be related to population density. Methods and findings This was a repeated point prevalence study. The number of COVID-19 positive patients hospitalised in the eleven Scottish mainland health boards peaked at 1517 on 19th April, then fell to a low of 243 on 16th August before rising slightly to 262 on 15th September. In July, August and September only four boards had more than 5 hospitalised patients. There was a statistically significant relationship between hospitalisation rates and population density on 97.7% of individual days during the first wave of the pandemic (Pearson’s r 0.62–0.93, with 123 of a possible 174 days having p values Conclusion There were large differences in crude COVID-19 hospitalisation rates across the 11 mainland Scottish health boards, that were significantly related to population density. Given that lockdown was originally introduced to prevent the NHS from being overwhelmed, we believe our results support a regional rather than a national approach to lifting or reimposing more restrictive measures, and that hospitalisation rates should be part of the decision making process.
Databáze: OpenAIRE