Spatio-temporal cluster detection of chickenpox in Valencia, Spain in the period 2008-2012
Autor: | Francisco Montes, Ana Míguez Santiyán, Adina Iftimi, Francisco Martínez-Ruiz |
---|---|
Rok vydání: | 2015 |
Předmět: |
Health (social science)
Geography Planning and Development Prevalence Medicine (miscellaneous) lcsh:G1-922 medicine.disease_cause Chickenpox Spatio-Temporal Analysis medicine Cluster (physics) Humans Valencia biology Health Policy Incidence (epidemiology) Incidence Varicella zoster virus Spatiotemporal pattern medicine.disease biology.organism_classification Airborne disease Airborne disease epidemiology Geography Spatio-temporal inhomogeneous K-function Spain Epidemiologic Research Design Cartography lcsh:Geography (General) Demography |
Zdroj: | Geospatial Health, Vol 10, Iss 1 (2015) |
ISSN: | 1970-7096 |
Popis: | Chickenpox is a highly contagious airborne disease caused by Varicella zoster, which affects nearly all non-immune children worldwide with an annual incidence estimated at 80-90 million cases. To analyze the spatiotemporal pattern of the chickenpox incidence in the city of Valencia, Spain two complementary statistical approaches were used. First, we evaluated the existence of clusters and spatio-temporal interaction; secondly, we used this information to find the locations of the spatio-temporal clusters via the space-time permutation model. The first method used detects any aggregation in our data but does not provide the spatial and temporal information. The second method gives the locations, areas and time-frame for the spatio-temporal clusters. An overall decreasing time trend, a pronounced 12-monthly periodicity and two complementary periods were observed. Several areas with high incidence, surrounding the center of the city were identified. The existence of aggregation in time and space was observed, and a number of spatio-temporal clusters were located. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
Externí odkaz: |