Fueling Conflict? (De)Escalation and Bilateral Aid
| Autor: | Bluhm, Richard, Gassebner, Martin, Langlotz, Sarah, Schaudt, Paul |
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| Rok vydání: | 2016 |
| Předmět: |
Economics and Econometrics
Conflict Economics INTERNATIONALE KONFLIKTE + KONFLIKTLÖSUNG (INTERNATIONALE POLITIK) conflict INTERNATIONAL CONFLICTS + RESOLUTION OF INTERNATIONAL CONFLICTS (INTERNATIONAL POLITICS) ZWISCHENSTAATLICHE WIRTSCHAFTSHILFE Foreign aid Political economy INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AID foreign aid political economy Dewey Decimal Classification::300 | Sozialwissenschaften Soziologie Anthropologie::330 | Wirtschaft 0502 economics and business ddc:330 civil 050207 economics F35 D74 050205 econometrics O11 C25 [O11] dynamic ordered panel data 05 social sciences bilateral aid flows 330 Economics ethnicity C25 fuel trade Social Sciences (miscellaneous) |
| Zdroj: | Journal of Applied Econometrics 36 (2021), Nr. 2 Journal of Applied Econometrics KOF Working Papers, 412 Journal of Applied Econometrics, 36 (2) |
| ISSN: | 0883-7252 1099-1255 0021-8901 1365-2664 |
| DOI: | 10.11588/heidok.00021941 |
| Popis: | This paper studies the effects of bilateral foreign aid on conflict escalation and deescalation. First, we develop a new ordinal measure capturing the two‐sided and multifaceted nature of conflict. Second, we propose a dynamic ordered probit estimator that allows for unobserved heterogeneity and corrects for endogeneity. Third, we identify the causal effect of foreign aid on conflict by predicting bilateral aid flows based on electoral outcomes of donor countries which are exogenous to recipients. Receiving bilateral aid raises the chances of escalating from small conflict to armed conflict, but we find little evidence that aid ignites conflict in truly peaceful countries. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 36 (2) ISSN:0883-7252 ISSN:1099-1255 ISSN:0021-8901 ISSN:1365-2664 |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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