Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation
Autor: | Erica Thompson, Roman Frigg, Casey Helgeson |
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Rok vydání: | 2016 |
Předmět: |
History
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences business.industry 05 social sciences Environmental resource management Climate change 050905 science studies 01 natural sciences Philosophy History and Philosophy of Science Economics Climate model Climate change adaptation 0509 other social sciences business Adaptation (computer science) GE Environmental Sciences 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
Zdroj: | Philosophy of Science. 83:1110-1121 |
ISSN: | 1539-767X 0031-8248 |
DOI: | 10.1086/687942 |
Popis: | Climate change adaptation is largely a local matter, and adaptation planning can benefit from local climate change projections. Such projections are typically generated by accepting climate model outputs in a relatively uncritical way. We argue, based on the IPCC’s treatment of model outputs from the CMIP5 ensemble, that this approach is unwarranted and that subjective expert judgment should play a central role in the provision of local climate change projections intended to support decision-making. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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