Was a sudden stop at the origin of German hyperinflation?
Autor: | Pierluigi Morelli, Elena Seghezza |
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Rok vydání: | 2020 |
Předmět: | |
Zdroj: | Financial History Review. 27:161-186 |
ISSN: | 1474-0052 0968-5650 |
DOI: | 10.1017/s0968565020000062 |
Popis: | Since the publication of Cagan's seminal contribution in 1956 and its further development by Sargent (1982) there has been a growing literature that seeks to explain German hyperinflation in terms of the monetary hypothesis. However, this article shows that the origins of this hyperinflation can be traced back to a sudden stop that occurred in the summer of 1922 at a time when expectations that the German economy would stabilise began to subside. The reversal of capital flows that took place in those months led in the short term to a dramatic depreciation of the mark, a significant increase in prices and a decline in output. This decline sparked bitter social conflict that fuelled a wage and price spiral. This spiral was accommodated by monetary authorities, leading in turn to explosive inflation. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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