Translating bioassay results to field population responses using a Leslie-matrix model for the marine amphipod Corophium volutator

Autor: Martine J. van den Heuvel-Greve, Belinda J. Kater, Mathijs G.D. Smit, Robbert G. Jak
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2006
Předmět:
Zdroj: Ecological Modelling, 196(3-4), 515-526
Ecological Modelling 196 (2006) 3-4
ISSN: 0304-3800
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.02.006
Popis: Bioassays can be used for the assessment of sediment contamination. The response is classified based on a statistical scale indicating a certain effect percentage being significantly different from the controls (e.g. mortality classes of 0–10%, 10–20% etc.). The ecological relevance of this statistical scale is low. Extrapolating the observed mortality to population success could facilitate the development of a more ecological relevant scale. By incorporating the results of bioassays in population models, the consequences of the presence of contaminants can be studied at the population level. Based on a Leslie matrix combined with mathematical modelling of important biological processes, a population model is developed for Corophium volutator , a marine amphipod used in sediment bioassays. A literature review is carried out to specify reproduction, growth, mortality and predation and the way these factors depend on temperature and food availability. This resulted in a model describing the population development (population growth rate) of C. volutator . Field data of the C. volutator population in the Oesterput, a location in the Dutch Eastern Scheldt estuary, are applied to study the capability of the model to describe a field population. For populations tested in bioassays, without food limitation and predation, increasing population sizes (population growth rate ( λ ) >1) are predicted between +6.5 °C and +30.0 °C. Mortality observed in bioassays will reduce λ . Using a realistic temperature profile, a maximum allowable bioassay response of 30.5% reducing λ to a value of 1 was determined. However, also external factors like predation and food limitation will reduce the value of λ . This hampers the definition of a generic threshold based on population effects. The developed model forms a useful intermediate in the translation of bioassay effects to population effects for C. volutator . Not only does the model provide new information about the sensitivity of test organisms and thus contributes to reducing uncertainty in test results, but it provides a means to increase the ecological relevance of bioassays responses. These latter capabilities are valuable to the regulation authorities.
Databáze: OpenAIRE