THE EFFECTS OF URANIUM PRICE FLUCTUATIONS ON PRODUCTION, EXPLORATION EXPENDITURES AND RESERVES: VAR APPROACH

Autor: Sondès Kahouli
Přispěvatelé: Julien, Séverine, Aménagement des Usages des Ressources et des Espaces marins et littoraux - Centre de droit et d'économie de la mer (AMURE), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Brest (UBO)-Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Institut Universitaire Européen de la Mer (IUEM), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université de Brest (UBO)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2012
Předmět:
Zdroj: Energy Studies Review
Energy Studies Review, DeGroote School of Business, McMaster University, 2012, 19 (1), pp.Article 3
ISSN: 0843-4379
Popis: International audience; The aim of this paper is to empirically analyse the effects of uranium price fluctuations, i.e. increase vs decrease, on uranium production, uranium exploration expenditures and uranium reserves. We apply a Vector Autoregression (VAR) approach which allows for both symmetric and asymmetric model specifications to simulate impulse-response functions (IRFs) and derive the forecasting error variance decomposition (VD). Results give evidence that a uranium price increase induces an exploration expenditures increase and, to a lesser extent, a production increase. In contrast, no significant effect of uranium price fluctuations on uranium reserves can be supported. Results also give evidence of the presence of asymmetric aspects in the response of uranium exploration expenditures and uranium production to uranium price fluctuations. In fact, uranium exploration expenditures and uranium production seem to be more sensitive to uranium price increases than to uranium price decreases.
Databáze: OpenAIRE